Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-160) New York (+132)

The Atlanta Braves (62-43) are on their way to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will go up against the New York Mets (44-62). The odds on this game have the Braves at -160 and the Mets are priced at +132. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Chris Sale and Christian Scott.

The Braves have accrued 168 doubles as a team and have hit 139 baseballs out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .417 and have been called out on strikes 850 times, while taking a walk on 321 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.0 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have earned 502 runs batted in as well as 893 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is .249. They have notched a total of 520 runs while having a team OBP of .316.

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The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.64 on the year (6th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 902 batters. Braves pitchers have given up 121 home runs and 413 total runs (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 356 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a unit on the year. Atlanta has allowed 802 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 378 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24.

The Braves relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 68.9% and stepped onto the hill in 123 save situations. They have recorded 31 saves this season and have missed out on 14 out of their 45 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 108 runners for the season and 25.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 76 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 337 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have 75 holds for the season (3rd in MLB).

The Braves have turned 71.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,409 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 4th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 2,803 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 862 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 12th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 87 double plays.

Sale has taken the ball for 2,195 innings and has racked up 2,713 K's in his pro baseball career. Sale (156-94 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.92 while going up against 8,840 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.97 (724 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.046. He has given up 1,783 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 513 walks.

New York has recorded 125 home runs so far this year to go along with 411 RBIs. They have put up 131 doubles, while taking a walk 339 times and scoring 432 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .304 as well as a team batting average of .233 this season. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .381 and they tally 4.08 runs per outing (27th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 892 instances (14th in baseball) and have accounted for 828 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.306 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.20 (962 strikeouts against 376 free passes). They rank 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 856. They have allowed 116 long balls and they concede 4.71 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 494 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.19 (439 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 70 save situations, the Mets have compiled 40 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save chances and they have tallied 17 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.9% out of their 142 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations in addition to 103 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 24th in baseball with a save rate of 56.7%, and they have sent 327 relief pitchers onto the field on the year.

Out of their 8,493 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (21st in the majors). The New York Mets have gotten 60 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 859 assists, 71 errors and have accounted for 2,831 putouts for the year.

Scott (3-5 career mark) has earned a 3.76 earned run average and has conceded 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.85 and he has faced 468 opposing hitters during his career. He has conceded a total of 46 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Scott has conceded 96 hits while totaling 117 strikeouts in 110 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-160)

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