Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, August 7, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+150) New York (-182)

The New York Yankees (64-51) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (69-45) at Yankee Stadium on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at +150 and New York is priced at -182. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Chris Sale and Max Fried.

Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .417 and have been called out on strikes 915 times, while being walked on 339 occasions. They have recorded 536 RBI's and 963 hits for the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .249. The Braves have earned 179 doubles as a team and have hit 152 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 557 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 6th in the league.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.63 so far this year (5th in baseball), and they have struck out 973 hitters. Braves pitchers have allowed 130 home runs and 444 runs in total (4th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 389 opposing players and their FIP is 4.10 as a squad for the season. Atlanta has yielded 864 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 409 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.50 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24.

The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 72.0% and have come into the game in 136 save situations. They have 36 saves this season and have blown 14 of 50 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 120 base runners on the year with 23.3% of them crossing home plate. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 84 times and also have had 126 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 363 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have tallied 83 holds on the year (3rd in MLB).

The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,040 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 933 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 92 double plays. The Braves have turned 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,120 innings, which ranks them 4th in baseball.

Sale has taken the mound for 2,201 innings and has racked up 2,722 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Sale (157-94 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.92 and he has gone up against 8,860 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.96 (724 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.044. He has given up 1,785 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 513 free passes.

New York has tallied 164 home runs for the year as well as 497 RBIs. They have put up 169 doubles, while walking 420 times as well as putting up 522 runs. The New York Yankees have accumulated a team OBP of .310 in addition to a batting average of .231 for the season. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .412 and they are earning 4.54 runs per game (12th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,046 occasions (5th in the league) and have earned 881 hits.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 441 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.34 (380 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 112 dingers and they yield 3.87 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.188 and have a FIP of 3.67 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (1,030 strikeouts vs 355 walks). They rank 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 863.

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 22.7% of 203 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 135 times in high leverage situations and on 139 occasions with base runners. With 115 save situations, the Yankees have 61 holds and also 21 blown saves. They rank 17th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.4%, and they have sent 386 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

In their 9,231 innings played, the Yankees have a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (9th in baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 87 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in baseball). The Yankees have 1,011 assists, 61 errors and have earned 3,077 putouts this year.

Fried (96-44 career record) has a 3.04 earned run average and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.50 and he has faced 4,705 opposing batters during his career. He has given up 390 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.142 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. In his pro baseball career, Fried has allowed 998 hits and he has 1,120 punch outs in 1,154 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-182) and under 9 runs

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