Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-145) Philadelphia (+125)

The Philadelphia Phillies (79-61) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (83-57) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Atlanta at -145 and Philadelphia is priced at +125. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Tyler Mahle and Aaron Nola.

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As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 9th in baseball. They have notched a total of 653 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .312. The Braves have tallied 224 doubles as a squad and have hit 178 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 626 runs batted in and 1,177 hits on the season, while their team batting average sits at .249. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .413 and have been called out on strikes 1,140 times, while drawing a walk on 407 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.51 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25. Braves pitchers have given up 152 home runs and also 535 total runs (3rd in the league). Atlanta has allowed 1,079 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 495 earned runs. The Braves have an ERA of 3.58 so far this season (3rd in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,187 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 473 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a squad so far this season.

The Braves have sent 442 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 154 base runners this year with 22.7% of them ended up scoring. The relievers have a total of 99 holds so far this year (3rd in the league). Braves pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 105 times in addition to having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 43 saves for the season and have not converted 19 of 62 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 69.4% and have entered the game in 166 save situations.

The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 3,729 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,146 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them sitting 8th in professional baseball, and they have turned 114 double plays. The Braves have turned 71.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,187 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in the majors.

Mahle has taken the hill for 765 innings and has tallied 785 strikeouts during his MLB career. Mahle (41-47 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.90 while going up against 3,239 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.96 (337 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.273. He has surrendered 705 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 269 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an OBP of .313 in addition to a batting average of .243 on the season. They have struck out on 1,161 occasions (16th in MLB) and have 1,139 base hits. Philadelphia is sitting with 165 home runs over the course of the season as well as 611 runs batted in. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .400 and they average 4.51 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have recorded 202 two-baggers, while taking a walk 450 times as well as notching 631 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.282 and have a FIP of 3.76 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 10.00 (1,374 strikeouts vs 423 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 18th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,169. They have yielded 163 homers and they concede 4.31 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 595 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.99 (551 earned runs surrendered).

Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.9% out of their 146 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 138 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on base. With 122 save situations, the Phillies have earned 64 holds and also 18 blown saves. They are currently ranked 12th in MLB with a save percentage of 67.9%, and they have dispatched 462 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 83 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 1,151 assists, 70 errors and have a tally of 3,728 putouts this year. In 11,184 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (28th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Nola has allowed 1,678 base hits while he has totaled 2,033 strikeouts in 1,863 frames. Nola (115-99 career record) has a 3.92 ERA and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up 811 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.169 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 4.07 and he has gone up against 7,677 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-145)

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