Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-182) Pittsburgh (+150)

PNC Park is the location where the Pittsburgh Pirates (46-45) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (52-36) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Atlanta at -182 and Pittsburgh is coming in at +150. The betting total comes in at 8. The men taking the mound are Bryce Elder and Paul Skenes.

The Braves have accrued 133 doubles as a team and have knocked 114 balls out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging % of .412 and have been called out on strikes 699 times, while taking a walk on 263 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 7th in baseball. They have accounted for 419 RBI's as well as 739 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is .248. They have earned a total of 431 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .313.

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The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.53 over the course of the season (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 747 hitters. Braves pitchers have surrendered 96 long balls in addition to 335 total runs (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 289 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a unit over the course of the season. Atlanta has allowed 664 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 306 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.58 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Braves have dispatched 274 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 85 base runners on the campaign with 28.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have recorded 58 holds for the year (5th in MLB). Braves pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 59 times as well as having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 26 saves on the year and have missed out on 8 out of their 34 chances to get a save. The Braves bullpen have earned a save rate of 76.5% and have entered the game in 95 save situations.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,342 putouts so far this season, in addition to 725 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them ranked 12th in baseball, and have a total of 67 double plays. The Braves have converted 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,026 innings on the diamond, ranking them 4th in baseball.

Elder has taken the mound for 532 innings and has 435 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Elder (29-30 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.41 and he has gone up against 2,279 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.48 (265 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.334. He has surrendered 526 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 184 walks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .340 as well as a batting average of .262 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 860 occasions (1st in the league) and have a total of 831 hits. Pittsburgh has compiled 114 HRs on the campaign and 455 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .422 and they earn 5.22 runs per contest (3rd in the league). They have hit 146 doubles, while taking a walk 342 times and notching 475 runs.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.314 in addition to having a FIP of 4.03 as a staff on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (829 strikeouts against 331 walks). They are currently ranked 18th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 736. They have surrendered 96 dingers and they relinquish 4.90 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 442 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.28 (386 earned runs surrendered).

With 78 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 43 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Pittsburgh has called on relievers to take the mound in 34 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves. Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.1% out of their 122 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations and on 86 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 28th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 290 relievers to the hill for the year.

Out of their 7,314 innings on the diamond, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in the majors). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 69 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). The Pirates have recorded 721 assists, 56 errors and have a total of 2,438 putouts on the campaign.

Skenes (27-21 record in his career) is the owner of a 2.35 earned run average and has surrendered 6.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.26 and he has faced 1,642 hitters so far in his career. He has allowed 109 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.964 and a FIP of 2.3. So far in his MLB career, Skenes has surrendered 306 base hits while he has earned 505 K's in 417 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-182)

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