Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/8/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-122) Pittsburgh (+102)

The Atlanta Braves (52-37) are traveling to PNC Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (46-45). The odds on this game have the Braves at -122 and the Pirates are at +102. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Grant Holmes and Jared Jones.

Atlanta is slugging .413 and have been called out on strikes 712 times, while taking a walk on 268 occasions. They have tallied 425 RBI's in addition to 752 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is at .248. The Braves have accrued 137 doubles as a squad and have hit 116 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 437 runs and have an on-base percentage of .314. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.9 runs/g, which puts them at 7th in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23. Braves pitchers have allowed 98 home runs in addition to 342 total runs (3rd in MLB). Atlanta has allowed 675 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 312 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.55 on the year (4th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 756 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 294 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.05 as a unit so far this year.

Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 60 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 61 holds this year (4th in MLB). The Braves bullpen have compiled a save rate of 74.3% and have come into the game in 99 save situations. They have accumulated 26 saves this year and have missed out on 9 of their 35 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 85 base runners on the year and 28.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Braves have dispatched 279 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Braves have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs in their 7,116 innings, which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have 2,372 putouts so far this season, as well as 736 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which has them sitting 11th in pro baseball, and they have turned 69 double plays.

Holmes has taken the mound for 265 innings and has accumulated 264 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.83 (113 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.305. He has given up 239 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 107 walks. Holmes (11-14 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.78 and he has gone up against 1,130 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Pirates have a SLG% of .422 and they score 5.22 runs per contest (3rd in the league). They have tallied 146 doubles, while getting a free base 342 times as well as scoring 475 runs. Pittsburgh has 114 home runs on the season and 455 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 860 occasions (1st in the league) and have accounted for 831 base knocks. The Pittsburgh Pirates have an on-base percentage of .340 in addition to a team batting average of .262 this season.

The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.314 with a FIP of 4.03 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (829 strikeouts vs 331 free passes). They have a ranking of 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 736. They have allowed 96 dingers and they relinquish 4.90 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 442 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.28 (386 earned runs relinquished).

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of 122 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 82 times in high leverage situations and on 86 occasions with runners on. With 78 save situations, the Pirates have earned 43 holds and also 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 28th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 290 relievers onto the diamond for the year.

In 7,314 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (23rd in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 69 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in baseball). The Pirates have recorded 721 assists, 56 errors and have accumulated 2,438 putouts for the year.

So far in his career, Jones has conceded 135 base knocks while he has totaled 163 punch outs in 150 innings. Jones (7-9 career record) has a 4.37 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 73 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.232 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.26 and he has faced 630 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+102) and under 8 runs

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