Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, June 22, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-144) San Diego (+120)

The San Diego Padres (38-36) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (47-27) at Petco Park on Monday. The line on this contest has Atlanta at -144 and San Diego is at +120. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Grant Holmes and Michael King.

Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .422 and have been rung up 586 times, while being walked on 225 occasions. They have accounted for 359 runs batted in as well as 639 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average sits at .254. The Braves have tallied 114 doubles as a team and have hit 98 balls out of the park. They have a total of 369 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 6th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20. Braves pitchers have yielded 80 home runs and also 268 total runs (3rd in MLB). Atlanta has allowed 545 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 247 earned runs. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.38 for the year (3rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 637 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 243 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a unit so far this season.

The Braves have dispatched 228 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 64 base runners for the season with 28.1% of those players ended up scoring. The relief pitchers are sitting with 49 holds on the year (7th in baseball). Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 46 times as well as having 72 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 23 saves this season and have not converted 6 of their 29 save opportunities. The Braves bullpen have earned a save percentage of 79.3% and have come into the game in 80 save situations.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 1,976 putouts thus far, in addition to 599 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball, and they have turned 53 double plays. The Braves have turned 72.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,928 innings, which has them sitting at 3rd in pro baseball.

Holmes (10-13 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.92 and he has gone up against 1,074 batters in the majors. He has given up 230 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 101 free passes. His earned run average is 3.98 (111 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.317. Holmes has taken the mound for 251 innings and has tallied 254 K's thus far in his career.

San Diego has hit 77 home runs this year to go along with 280 RBIs. They have 103 doubles, while taking a walk 235 times and racking up 287 runs. The San Diego Padres have an on-base percentage of .292 and a batting average of .219 so far this year. The Padres have a team slugging % of .364 and they average 3.88 runs per game (30th in baseball). They have struck out on 624 instances (17th in MLB) and are sitting with 529 base hits.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.302 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (606 strikeouts against 262 bases on balls). They come in at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 591. They have yielded 72 homers and they relinquish 4.09 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 298 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.92 (285 earned runs surrendered).

San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.5% of 129 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 84 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on base. With 79 save situations, the Padres have accrued 46 holds and also 9 blown saves. They are currently ranked 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 71.0%, and they have sent 250 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season.

In their 5,895 innings on the diamond, the Padres have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (10th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .992 (1st in MLB). The Padres have accrued 670 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 1,965 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, King has conceded 484 base hits while earning 632 punch outs in 579 frames. King (35-35 record in his career) has a 3.29 ERA and has given up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 212 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.193 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.05 and he has faced 2,417 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-144)

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