Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 5/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, May 4, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-128) Seattle (+106)

The Seattle Mariners (16-18) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (24-10) at T-Mobile Park on Monday. The odds on this game have the Braves at -128 while the Mariners are at +106. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be JR Ritchie and Logan Gilbert.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.7 runs per game, which is 1st in baseball. They have 194 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .338. The Braves have recorded 65 doubles as a unit and have hit 48 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 189 runs batted in and 320 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is .273. Atlanta has a slugging % of .458 and have been called out on strikes 256 times, while drawing a walk on 109 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.15. Braves pitchers have yielded 31 long balls and also 118 runs in total (3rd in baseball). Atlanta has allowed 236 hits (7.0 per 9 innings) as well as 105 earned runs. The Braves have an earned run average of 3.11 on the campaign (2nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 289 batters. They have walked 114 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.84 as a team on the campaign.

The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 85.7% and have come into the game in 36 save situations. They have accumulated 12 saves for the season and have blown 2 of 14 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 28 base runners over the course of the season with 28.6% of them earned a run for their team. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 19 times and also have had 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 105 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have 20 holds over the course of the season (12th in the league).

The Braves have converted 73.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,736 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 1st in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 912 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 282 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which has them sitting 8th in baseball, and they have turned 27 double plays.

Ritchie has taken the mound for 12 innings and has earned 11 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 2.98 (4 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.322. He has surrendered 10 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) with 6 free passes. Ritchie (1-0 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.93 while he has gone up against 51 hitters in the majors.

The Mariners have a slugging percentage of .382 and they score 4.18 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have recorded 47 doubles, while taking a walk 132 times and scoring 142 runs. Seattle has recorded 38 HRs so far this season as well as 138 runs batted in. They have struck out on 310 instances (4th in the league) and have tallied 261 hits. The Seattle Mariners have compiled a team OBP of .320 in addition to a batting average of .232 on the campaign.

The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.250 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 25th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 297. The Seattle pitching staff have surrendered 137 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.68 (124 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (282 strikeouts against 82 bases on balls). They have conceded 32 dingers and they allow 4.07 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Sitting with 30 save situations, the Mariners have accumulated 16 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Seattle has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have recorded 9 saves. Seattle bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 12.2% out of their 41 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 44 times in high leverage situations and also on 31 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 108 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 38 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in baseball). The Mariners have accrued 290 assists, 14 errors and have accumulated 910 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 2,730 innings on the diamond, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (27th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Gilbert has allowed 744 base hits and he has 923 punch outs in 873 innings pitched. He has surrendered 349 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.069 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.88 and he has faced 3,537 hitters so far in his career. Gilbert (48-39 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.60 ERA while conceding 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-128)

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