Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 5/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-128) Seattle (+106)

The Seattle Mariners (16-19) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (25-10) at T-Mobile Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Braves at -128 and the Mariners are opening at +106. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Bryce Elder and George Kirby.

Atlanta is slugging .464 and have been called out on strikes 265 times, while taking a walk on 115 occasions. They have earned 200 RBI's in addition to 334 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .276. The Braves have hit 68 doubles as a squad and have knocked 50 balls out of the park. They have tallied 205 runs while holding a team OBP of .342. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 5.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 1st in MLB.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Braves pitchers have conceded 34 long balls in addition to 124 runs (3rd in MLB). Atlanta has allowed 247 base hits (7.1 per 9 innings) as well as 111 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.19 over the course of the season (2nd in the league), and the staff has struck out 302 hitters. They have walked 120 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.91 as a team this season.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 21 times and also have had 34 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 24 holds this season (5th in MLB). The Braves bullpen have earned a save percentage of 85.7% and stepped onto the hill in 40 save situations. They have earned 12 saves so far this year and have not converted 2 out of their 14 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 31 base runners for the year with 32.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Braves have sent 111 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Braves have converted 72.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,817 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 2nd in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 939 putouts this season, as well as 291 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which has them sitting 8th in the majors, and have a total of 27 double plays.

Elder has thrown 477 innings and has earned 388 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.34 (230 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.329. He has conceded 467 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 167 walks. Elder (27-25 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.27 while he has gone up against 2,036 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Seattle Mariners have accumulated an OBP of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .229 on the campaign. They have struck out on 320 occasions (4th in baseball) and have a total of 265 hits. Seattle has accounted for 38 home runs this year and 139 RBIs. The Mariners have a team slugging percentage of .375 and they average 4.09 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have hit 47 doubles, while getting a free base 135 times and racking up 143 runs.

The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.256 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.30 (289 strikeouts vs 87 bases on balls). They rank 24th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 305. They have yielded 32 home runs and they concede 4.07 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have relinquished 141 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.72 (129 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 30 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 16 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Seattle has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 14 save chances and they have walked away with 9 saves. Seattle relievers have an inherited score rate of 12.2% out of their 41 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 44 times in high leverage situations in addition to 31 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 111 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season.

In 2,811 innings played, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (27th in pro baseball). The Seattle Mariners have turned 39 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). The Mariners have accrued 298 assists, 15 errors and have a tally of 937 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Kirby has given up 656 base hits while accumulating 655 strikeouts in 682 innings. Kirby (49-36 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.55 earned run average while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 269 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.114 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.30 and he has faced 2,779 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (+106)

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