Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-128) St. Louis (+106)

The Atlanta Braves (53-38) are traveling to Busch Stadium on Friday where they will go up against the St. Louis Cardinals (48-43). The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at -128 and St. Louis opens at +106. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Chris Sale and Kyle Leahy.

The Braves have compiled 142 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 117 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .412 and have been rung up 731 times, while taking a walk on 269 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.9 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 7th in the league. They have amassed 429 runs batted in as well as 768 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .248. They have 444 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313.

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The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.61 for the year (5th in the league), and they have struck out 771 hitters. Braves pitchers have allowed 101 home runs and also 354 runs in total (5th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 303 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.08 as a unit for the year. Atlanta has yielded 693 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 324 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23.

The Braves have sent 285 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 base runners on the season and 27.6% of them earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have accumulated 62 holds so far this season (3rd in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 61 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 27 saves so far this season and have missed out on 9 of 36 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 75.0% and have entered the game in 101 save situations.

The Braves have turned 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,269 innings, which has them sitting 4th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 2,423 putouts for the season, in addition to 753 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them sitting 10th in MLB, and have a total of 70 double plays.

Sale has thrown 2,179 frames and has accumulated 2,691 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.98 (721 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.049. He has given up 1,774 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 511 free passes. Sale (154-94 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.93 and he has faced 8,781 hitters in the majors.

The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .245 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 702 occasions (27th in MLB) and have accounted for 748 hits. St. Louis has knocked in 104 home runs this year as well as 404 RBIs. The Cardinals have a SLG% of .394 and they have an average of 4.57 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have hit 127 two-baggers, while getting a free base 292 times as well as putting up 416 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have relinquished 409 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.17 (376 earned runs given up). They have yielded 91 home runs and they allow 4.53 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.340 with a FIP of 4.18 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.60 (683 strikeouts vs 306 walks). They rank 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 782.

They sit at 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 309 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 104 times in high leverage situations and also on 103 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 107 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 62 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. St. Louis has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 42 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. St. Louis relievers have an inherited score rate of 36.2% out of 152 inherited base runners.

In their 7,314 innings played, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in pro baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 81 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in professional baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 856 assists, 44 errors and have notched a total of 2,438 putouts for the year.

During his pro baseball career, Leahy has surrendered 216 base knocks while he has tallied 188 strikeouts in 224 frames. He has surrendered 93 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.47 and he has gone up against 947 opposing batters during his career. Leahy (12-8 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.73 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (+106)

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