Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-122) St. Louis (+102)

Busch Stadium is where the St. Louis Cardinals (49-44) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (54-39) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta at -122 while St. Louis is sitting at +102. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are JR Ritchie and Dustin May.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.9 runs per game, which has them at 6th in MLB. They have notched a total of 455 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. The Braves have earned 145 two-baggers as a team and have hit 120 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 440 runs batted in as well as 782 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is at .247. Atlanta is slugging .411 and have struck out 748 times, while being walked on 278 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Braves pitchers have surrendered 105 long balls and also 361 runs in total (4th in baseball). Atlanta has relinquished 706 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 330 earned runs. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.60 so far this year (4th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 789 hitters. They have walked 311 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a squad on the season.

The Braves have dispatched 294 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 88 base runners on the season and 27.3% of them ended up scoring. The relievers have a total of 65 holds over the course of the season (3rd in MLB). Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 62 times as well as having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 27 saves for the season and have not converted 10 of their 37 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have accumulated a save rate of 73.0% and stepped onto the hill in 105 save situations.

The Braves have turned 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,422 innings, which has them sitting 4th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 2,474 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 766 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 73 double plays.

Ritchie has pitched in 45 innings and is sitting with 42 punch outs during his MLB career. Ritchie (1-2 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.53 while he has gone up against 200 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.60 (23 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.467. He has allowed 38 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 28 free passes.

The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .243 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 720 occasions (27th in the league) and have earned a total of 758 hits. St. Louis has accounted for 106 home runs on the season as well as 410 runs batted in. The Cardinals have a SLG% of .393 and they score 4.54 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have 130 two-baggers, while taking a walk 298 times and putting up 422 runs.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.332 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.60 (698 strikeouts vs 310 walks). They come in at 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 796. They have given up 93 homers and they allow 4.53 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 418 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.17 (385 earned runs yielded).

They rank 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 65.1%, and they have dispatched 317 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 107 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 108 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 62 holds and also 15 blown saves. St. Louis has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 43 save opportunities and they have come away with 28 saves. St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.7% out of 154 inherited runners.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 82 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). The Cardinals have 874 assists, 44 errors and have a total of 2,492 putouts on the campaign. In 7,476 innings on the field, the Cardinals hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in pro baseball).

In his career, May has allowed 363 base hits and he has 382 strikeouts in 413 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 184 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.211 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.79 and he has faced 1,725 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. May (24-26 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.01 earned run average and has given up 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-122)

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