Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 3, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-144) Cincinnati (+120)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (39-45) will play the Baltimore Orioles (39-48) on Friday. The line on this matchup has the Orioles at -144 and the Reds are coming in at +120. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Trevor Rogers and Brady Singer.

Baltimore has a slugging rate of .396 and have struck out 797 times, while drawing a walk on 327 occasions. They have accumulated 386 runs batted in and 693 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .238. The Orioles have hit 135 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 100 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 397 runs and have an on-base percentage of .318. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in MLB.

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The Orioles hold a team ERA of 4.43 this year (22nd in MLB), and they have struck out 699 hitters. Orioles pitchers have given up 98 home runs and 435 total runs (23rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 307 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.23 as a team for the year. Baltimore has conceded 761 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 380 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38.

The Orioles relievers have recorded a save rate of 64.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 76 save situations. They have compiled 18 saves this year and have blown 10 out of their 28 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 113 runners on the year with 26.5% of those players crossing home plate. Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 82 times in addition to having 81 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 287 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have racked up 47 holds so far this year (13th in the league).

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 2,315 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 737 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which is 24th in MLB, and they have turned 62 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,945 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in baseball.

Rogers (29-44 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.92 while going up against 2,558 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 561 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 219 walks. His earned run average is 3.98 (265 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.302. Rogers has taken the mound for 599 frames and is sitting with 582 strikeouts during his career.

Cincinnati is sitting with 102 home runs for the season to go along with 336 runs batted in. They have hit 137 doubles, while taking a walk 315 times and recording 355 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .227 this year. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .389 and they tally 4.23 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have struck out on 793 occasions (4th in MLB) and have earned a total of 640 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 413 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.62 (384 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 118 long balls and they give up 4.97 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.464 with a FIP of 5.02 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (681 strikeouts against 377 bases on balls). They come in at 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 718.

With 87 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 49 holds and also 17 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 37 save chances and they have earned 20 saves. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 24.5% out of their 139 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 107 times in high leverage situations and also on 100 occasions with base runners. They rank 25th in the league holding a save rate of 54.1%, and they have sent 303 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 62 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 685 assists, 45 errors and have earned a total of 2,244 putouts this year. In their 6,732 innings played, the Reds have a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (13th in the majors).

Singer (53-63 career record) has earned a 4.31 ERA while surrendering 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has faced 4,003 opposing hitters during his career. He has conceded 446 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.328 and having a FIP of 4.2. So far in his career, Singer has given up 939 base knocks while totaling 873 strikeouts in 932 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+120) and under 9 runs

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