Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-130) Cincinnati (+110)

Great American Ball Park is the site where the Cincinnati Reds (40-46) will try to beat the Baltimore Orioles (40-48) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Orioles at -130 while the Reds are opening at +110. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Kyle Bradish and Nick Lodolo.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 12th in baseball. They have earned a total of 403 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .319. The Orioles have hit 135 doubles as a squad and have smacked 102 baseballs out of the park. They have 391 RBI's in addition to 700 hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .239. Baltimore has a slugging % of .397 and have been called out on strikes 809 times, while drawing a walk on 334 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.38. Orioles pitchers have conceded 99 home runs in addition to 436 runs (23rd in MLB). Baltimore has surrendered 765 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 381 earned runs. The Orioles are sitting with a team ERA of 4.39 this season (22nd in the league), and the staff has struck out 705 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 308 batters and their FIP sits at 4.23 as a team for the year.

The Orioles have sent 289 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 113 runners so far this year and 26.5% of them earned a run for their team. The bullpen have earned 47 holds so far this year (13th in baseball). Orioles pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 82 times in addition to having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 18 saves this season and have missed out on 10 out of their 28 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have earned a save rate of 64.3% and have come into the game in 76 save situations.

The Orioles have converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of 7,026 innings on the field, which has them sitting 27th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have 2,342 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 749 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 62 double plays.

Bradish has taken the hill for 450 innings and is sitting with 475 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.54 (177 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.224. He has conceded 389 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 162 free passes. Bradish (24-23 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.49 while he has faced 1,869 hitters in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has 106 HRs on the season to go along with 345 runs batted in. They have put up 139 two-baggers, while getting a free base 319 times and notching 364 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .309 in addition to a batting average of .228 for the year. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .391 and they are earning 4.23 runs per outing (20th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 816 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have a total of 659 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 419 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.59 (390 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 119 homers and they surrender 4.93 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.459 with a FIP of 5.01 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (692 strikeouts vs 386 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 730.

Sitting with 87 save situations, the Reds have earned 49 holds and also 17 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 37 save opportunities and they have come away with 20 saves. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 24.1% out of 141 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 108 times in high leverage situations in addition to 102 occasions with runners on. They sit at 25th in the league with a save percentage of 54.1%, and they have sent 310 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

In their 6,885 innings on the field, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 705 assists, 48 errors and have earned a total of 2,295 putouts during this campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Lodolo has surrendered 433 hits while he has totaled 498 K's in 460 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 214 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.242 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.58 and he has gone up against 1,973 batters during his career. Lodolo (26-24 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.18 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.