Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 4/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Cleveland (-130)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (11-9) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (9-10) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Baltimore at +110 and Cleveland is coming in at -130. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Dean Kremer and Gavin Williams.

The Orioles have accounted for 36 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 17 balls out of the park. Baltimore is slugging .383 and have been rung up 171 times, while taking a walk on 77 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 19th in MLB. They have accrued 78 runs batted in and 150 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is .240. They have a total of 79 runs while having a team OBP of .327.

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The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.01 over the course of the season (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 169 batters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 18 home runs and also 82 total runs (14th in MLB). They have walked 63 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a squad this year. Baltimore has conceded 163 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 75 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Orioles have dispatched 64 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 19 runners so far this year and 0.0% of them crossing the plate. The relievers have tallied 16 holds for the year (5th in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 14 times and also have had 23 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 7 saves this year and have missed out on 2 of their 9 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have a save rate of 77.8% and have come into the game in 25 save situations.

The Orioles have turned 67.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 1,515 innings, which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 505 putouts on the year, as well as 166 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 18th in the majors, and they have turned 18 double plays.

Kremer has taken the ball for 676 innings and has racked up 587 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.26 (320 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.291. He has conceded 651 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 222 free passes. Kremer (41-40 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.20 while he has gone up against 2,857 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Cleveland Guardians hold an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .231 this year. They have struck out on 153 occasions (21st in baseball) and have 150 hits. Cleveland has accounted for 20 home runs on the campaign as well as 74 RBIs. The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .383 and they have an average of 3.95 runs per outing (22nd in MLB). They have put up 39 doubles, while getting a free base 73 times and scoring 79 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.285 and have a FIP of 4.17 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.80 (190 strikeouts against 74 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 19th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 151. They have conceded 24 long balls and they relinquish 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 83 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.96 (77 earned runs allowed).

Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.7% of 30 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 22 times in high leverage situations and also on 19 occasions with runners on base. With 20 save situations, the Guardians have tallied 12 holds and 2 blown saves. They are ranked 7th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 63 relief pitchers onto the field for the year.

In their 1,578 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (15th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .991 (5th in professional baseball). The Guardians have accrued 141 assists, 6 errors and have amassed 526 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Williams has surrendered 278 base hits and he has 362 K's in 347 innings pitched. Williams (20-21 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.47 earned run average and has surrendered 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 134 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.284 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.15 and he has faced 1,470 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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