Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-196) Miami (+162)

The Miami Marlins (16-19) will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (15-20) at LoanDepot Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Orioles at -196 and the Marlins are opening at +162. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Brandon Young and Eury Perez.

The Orioles have accounted for 56 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 39 balls out of the park. Baltimore is slugging .386 and have been called out on strikes 321 times, while drawing a walk on 139 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in the league. They have earned 152 runs batted in in addition to 270 hits on the year, while their team batting average is at .233. They have 155 runs while having a team OBP of .318.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.22 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.50. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 45 home runs in addition to 196 runs in total (28th in the league). Baltimore has surrendered 333 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 170 earned runs. The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 4.96 on the campaign (28th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 289 batters. They have walked 130 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.54 as a squad for the year.

The Orioles have sent 123 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 49 runners on the year and 16.3% of them crossing the plate. The bullpen have notched 20 holds this year (14th in the league). Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 34 times in addition to having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 10 saves on the season and have blown 3 of their 13 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 76.9% and have come into the game in 34 save situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 926 putouts for the season, as well as 306 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which has them sitting 26th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 29 double plays. The Orioles have turned 66.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,778 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in the majors.

Young has taken the ball for 71 innings and has accumulated 56 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Young (3-8 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 6.21 while he has gone up against 324 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 6.30 (50 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.583. He has given up 86 hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) with 27 walks.

The Miami Marlins have accounted for an OBP of .329 and a team batting average of .251 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 290 instances (17th in the league) and are sitting with 291 base hits. Miami has tallied 25 home runs so far this season to go along with 140 runs batted in. The Marlins have a SLG% of .377 and they tally 4.17 runs per outing (21st in the league). They have tallied 55 two-baggers, while taking a walk 122 times and earning 146 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.240 in addition to having a FIP of 3.87 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (293 strikeouts vs 125 free passes). They rank 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 256. They have allowed 30 home runs and they allow 4.34 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 148 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.87 (132 earned runs surrendered).

They are ranked 17th in the league with a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 106 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 31 times in high leverage situations and also on 25 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Marlins have 20 holds and also 6 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to take the mound in 16 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.9% out of their 38 inherited runners.

In 2,769 innings played, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (6th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 20 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 273 assists, 24 errors and have a total of 923 putouts during this campaign.

Perez (14-15 mark in his career) holds a 3.85 ERA while allowing 7.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.19 and he has gone up against 917 opposing batters in his career. He has allowed 95 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.138 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Perez has given up 174 hits and he has 252 punch outs in 222 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+162)

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