Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-132) Miami (+110)

The Miami Marlins (16-20) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (16-20) at LoanDepot Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at -132 and Miami is sitting at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Cade Povich and Max Meyer.

The Orioles have compiled 59 doubles as a team and have hit 39 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .386 and have been called out on strikes 331 times, while taking a walk on 144 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in MLB. They have accumulated 161 RBI's and 280 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is at .234. They have 164 runs while having a team OBP of .319.

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The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.90 this year (27th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 299 hitters. Orioles pitchers have given up 47 home runs in addition to 203 total runs (28th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 135 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.58 as a unit for the season. Baltimore has given up 341 base knocks (9.7 per 9 innings) and 173 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.21 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.50.

The Orioles have sent 128 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 50 runners so far this year with 16.0% of them crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have recorded 22 holds for the year (12th in MLB). Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 35 times and also have had 38 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 10 saves this season and have blown 4 of their 14 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 71.4% and have come into the game in 37 save situations.

The Orioles have transformed 66.3% of balls in play into outs in their 2,859 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 953 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 315 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .981 which has them sitting 27th in baseball, and have accumulated 30 double plays.

Povich has thrown 208 frames and has earned 198 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 5.15 (119 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.456. He has conceded 221 base knocks (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 82 free passes. Povich (7-18 career record) has earned a FIP of 5.07 while he has gone up against 908 batters in the major leagues.

The Marlins hold a slugging % of .379 and they score 4.25 runs per contest (19th in MLB). They have 55 two-baggers, while taking a walk 127 times as well as scoring 153 runs. Miami is sitting with 27 home runs over the course of the season as well as 145 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 300 occasions (16th in the league) and have accounted for 300 hits. The Miami Marlins are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .331 and a batting average of .251 for the year.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 157 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.01 (141 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 30 dingers and they concede 4.47 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.252 and have a FIP of 3.83 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (303 strikeouts vs 130 walks). They have a ranking of 6th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 266.

Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 39 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 32 times in high leverage situations and also on 26 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Marlins have earned 20 holds and 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league with a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 111 relievers onto the diamond for the season.

In their 2,850 innings on the diamond, the Marlins hold a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (8th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 20 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in MLB). The Marlins have recorded 279 assists, 26 errors and have amassed 950 putouts so far this season.

So far in his career, Meyer has allowed 166 base hits and he has 160 strikeouts in 164 frames. He has given up a total of 86 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.340 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and he has faced 713 hitters so far in his MLB career. Meyer (8-11 career mark) has earned a 4.71 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (-132)

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