Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 8/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-152) Minnesota (+126)

The Minnesota Twins (58-60) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (56-61) at Target Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Orioles at -152 while the Twins are at +126. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Brandon Young and Bailey Ober.

Baltimore is slugging .390 and have struck out 1,075 times, while drawing a walk on 453 occasions. They have 500 runs batted in in addition to 904 base knocks this year, and their batting average is sitting at .234. The Orioles have accumulated 171 two-baggers as a team and have hit 134 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 518 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .319. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.19 this year (18th in the league), and the staff has struck out 930 batters. Orioles pitchers have conceded 126 home runs and also 556 runs in total (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 389 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.08 as a squad on the season. Baltimore has conceded 1,000 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 484 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.39 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Orioles have sent 382 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 143 base runners for the year and 26.6% of those players ended up scoring. The relievers have a total of 61 holds this year (16th in MLB). Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 108 times as well as having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 30 saves this year and have missed out on 16 out of their 46 save chances. The Orioles relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 65.2% and have entered the game in 109 save situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned 3,122 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,012 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them sitting 27th in baseball, and have accumulated 85 double plays. The Orioles have turned 69.0% of balls in play into outs in their 9,366 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 26th in baseball.

Young has thrown 164 innings and has accumulated 136 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 4.43 (81 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.399. He has surrendered 170 base knocks (9.3 hits per 9 innings) with 60 free passes. Young (9-10 career record) has a FIP of 4.37 and he has faced 715 batters in the majors.

The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .318 as well as a batting average of .244 on the season. They have struck out on 948 instances (22nd in MLB) and have a total of 968 base hits. Minnesota is sitting with 139 home runs this season as well as 522 runs batted in. The Twins have a team SLG% of .406 and they are scoring 4.66 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have recorded 189 doubles, while walking 386 times and scoring 550 runs.

The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 584 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.60 (532 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 134 home runs and they allow 5.05 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Twins have a WHIP of 1.378 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.40 (969 strikeouts against 429 bases on balls). They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,004.

Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.8% out of 171 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 127 times in high leverage situations and on 116 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 123 save situations, the Twins have 75 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have sent 389 relievers onto the diamond on the season.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 81 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Twins have accrued 895 assists, 58 errors and have accounted for 3,121 putouts so far this year. In 9,363 innings on the field, the Twins have a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (23rd in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Ober has given up 649 hits while he has totaled 667 strikeouts in 710 frames. Ober (38-33 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.13 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 326 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.135 and having a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.25 and he has gone up against 2,905 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (-152)

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