Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, September 14, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+120) New York (-144)

The New York Mets (69-79) host the Baltimore Orioles (72-77) at Citi Field on Monday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +120 while New York is priced at -144. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Brandon Young and Jonah Tong.

The Orioles have tallied 219 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 179 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .394 and have struck out 1,384 times, while drawing a walk on 550 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in MLB. They have tallied 647 runs batted in in addition to 1,163 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is at .234. They have notched a total of 671 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Orioles hold a team ERA of 4.17 over the course of the season (15th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,201 hitters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 161 home runs in addition to 699 total runs (22nd in baseball). They have walked 493 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a unit this year. Baltimore has surrendered 1,293 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 615 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.44 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 150 times in addition to having 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 79 holds this season (17th in MLB). The Orioles relievers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and have entered the game in 145 save situations. They have earned 42 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 21 out of their 63 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 205 base runners on the year with 26.3% of those players crossing the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 499 relievers to the hill this season.

The Orioles have transformed 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,946 innings on the field, which ranks them 27th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 3,982 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,270 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 24th in MLB, and they have turned 113 double plays.

Young (10-11 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.40 and he has gone up against 861 batters in the majors. He has given up 207 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 72 free passes. His ERA is 4.47 (98 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.413. Young has taken the mound for 197 frames and has totaled 159 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .397 and they average 4.34 runs per contest (21st in baseball). They have 191 two-baggers, while walking 477 times as well as scoring 643 runs. New York has 188 home runs so far this season to go along with 614 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,248 instances (15th in the league) and have 1,192 base hits. The New York Mets have accounted for an OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .239 so far this season.

The New York pitching staff have given up 675 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.20 (614 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 166 dingers and they allow 4.61 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.307 and have a FIP of 4.07 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,317 strikeouts vs 510 walks). They are currently ranked 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,211.

Sitting with 117 save situations, the Mets have 66 holds and also 18 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 47 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 28.1% out of their 192 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations and on 135 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 17th in the league with a save percentage of 61.7%, and they have dispatched 460 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season.

Out of their 11,859 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (19th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 90 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Mets have racked up 1,155 assists, 89 errors and have a tally of 3,953 putouts so far this year.

Tong (4-4 career mark) has a 6.51 ERA and has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.12 and he has gone up against 155 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 24 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.596 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.4. In his pro baseball career, Tong has surrendered 36 base knocks while totaling 36 punch outs in 33 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-144) and under 8 runs

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