Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+106) New York (-128)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (69-81) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (73-78) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Orioles at +106 while the Mets are priced at -128. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chris Bassitt and Robert Stock.

Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .393 and have been rung up 1,411 times, while drawing a walk on 557 occasions. They have accounted for 650 runs batted in as well as 1,181 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .235. The Orioles have compiled 222 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 180 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 674 runs and have an on-base percentage of .316. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.42 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35. Orioles pitchers have conceded 165 long balls in addition to 708 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Baltimore has surrendered 1,309 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 624 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 4.18 this year (16th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,215 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 503 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a squad this year.

Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 151 times as well as having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 80 holds for the season (15th in baseball). The Orioles relievers have earned a save percentage of 67.2% and have come into the game in 147 save situations. They have earned 43 saves this year and have blown 21 of their 64 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 208 runners on the season and 27.4% of those runners crossing the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 505 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Orioles have turned 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,099 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 27th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have notched a total of 4,033 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,281 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which puts them in 23rd in professional baseball, and have earned 114 double plays.

Bassitt has taken the ball for 1,368 innings and has 1,257 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.72 (566 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.269. He has surrendered 1,292 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 445 free passes. Bassitt (90-70 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.67 while going up against 5,822 batters in the majors.

New York is sitting with 189 long balls for the season and 615 RBIs. They have tallied 192 doubles, while taking a walk 484 times and putting up 644 runs. The New York Mets have a team OBP of .308 and a team batting average of .238 for the year. The Mets hold a slugging % of .395 and they are scoring 4.29 runs per outing (22nd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,266 occasions (12th in MLB) and have earned 1,201 hits.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.303 in addition to having a FIP of 4.07 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,223. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 679 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.16 (617 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,338 strikeouts vs 515 free passes). They have yielded 169 homers and they relinquish 4.58 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

With 117 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 66 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 47 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of 192 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 153 times in high leverage situations and on 135 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 17th in MLB holding a save rate of 61.7%, and they have dispatched 465 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The New York Mets have turned 91 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors). The Mets have racked up 1,165 assists, 90 errors and have earned a total of 4,004 putouts for the year. In their 12,012 innings on the field, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (20th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Stock has given up 119 base hits while he has totaled 106 strikeouts in 105 innings pitched. He has conceded 61 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.692 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.80 and he has faced 491 batters so far in his MLB career. Stock (3-7 career mark) has earned a 5.22 earned run average while giving up 10.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+106)

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