Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, May 1, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+106) New York (-128)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (20-11) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (14-15) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Orioles at +106 and the Yankees are sitting at -128. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cade Povich and Will Warren.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have racked up 130 runs while having a team OBP of .321. The Orioles have accounted for 49 doubles as a team and have knocked 35 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 129 RBI's as well as 232 base knocks this year, while their batting average comes in at .240. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .401 and have struck out 265 times, while being walked on 111 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40. Orioles pitchers have given up 34 long balls and 143 total runs (22nd in baseball). Baltimore has allowed 259 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 123 earned runs. The Orioles have an ERA of 4.28 over the course of the season (20th in the league), and the staff has rung up 252 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 102 batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a team on the campaign.

The Orioles have sent 100 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 runners for the season and 13.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 19 holds on the year (13th in the league). Orioles pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 26 times in addition to having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 10 saves this year and have missed out on 3 out of their 13 save opportunities. The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 76.9% and have entered the game in 33 save situations.

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with 776 putouts this year, as well as 256 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which ranks 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays. The Orioles have converted 67.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,328 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 28th in MLB.

Povich has pitched in 204 frames and has totaled 194 strikeouts in his MLB career. Povich (7-17 career mark) has a FIP of 4.95 and he has faced 888 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 5.03 (114 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.440. He has conceded 214 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) with 80 free passes.

The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .424 and they have an average of 4.94 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have put up 46 two-baggers, while walking 138 times and recording 153 runs. New York has tallied 48 home runs for the year and 145 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 279 occasions (8th in MLB) and have a total of 232 hits. The New York Yankees are sitting with an on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a batting average of .229 on the campaign.

The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.138 and have a FIP of 3.47 as a unit over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (268 strikeouts vs 85 walks). They sit at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 227. They have surrendered 26 long balls and they allow 3.48 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 106 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.12 (95 earned runs allowed).

They rank 15th in the league with a save percentage of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 96 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations and on 31 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 29 save situations, the Yankees have accumulated 14 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 14 save opportunities and they have walked away with 9 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.1% out of 45 inherited base runners.

The New York Yankees have turned 21 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Yankees have recorded 284 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 824 putouts so far this season. In 2,472 innings played, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Warren has surrendered 220 base knocks while he has totaled 237 strikeouts in 216 innings pitched. Warren (12-11 career mark) has earned a 4.79 earned run average and has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 115 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.398 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.89 and he has faced 950 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+106)

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