Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+150) New York (-182)

The New York Yankees (20-11) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (15-16) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The line on this contest has Baltimore at +150 and New York is coming in at -182. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kyle Bradish and Ryan Weathers.

Baltimore has a slugging rate of .400 and have struck out 284 times, while taking a walk on 126 occasions. They have earned 144 runs batted in and 244 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .237. The Orioles have hit 53 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 37 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 145 runs while holding a team OBP of .323. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 13th in MLB.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.29 so far this year (20th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 266 batters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 36 home runs and also 157 runs in total (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 106 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a unit so far this season. Baltimore has given up 286 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 132 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.42.

Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 27 times in addition to having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 20 holds on the season (12th in MLB). The Orioles relievers have earned a save percentage of 76.9% and have come into the game in 34 save situations. They have recorded 10 saves this season and have blown 3 of 13 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 38 runners on the season with 13.2% of them ended up scoring. The Orioles have sent 107 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Orioles have converted 66.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,490 innings, which has them ranked 29th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 830 putouts this season, in addition to 273 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which is 26th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 25 double plays.

Bradish (20-18 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 1,605 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 336 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 132 free passes. His ERA is 3.53 (152 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.209. Bradish has taken the hill for 387 frames and has tallied 410 strikeouts so far in his career.

New York has 48 long balls so far this season to go along with 145 RBIs. They have hit 46 two-baggers, while taking a walk 138 times and putting up 153 runs. The New York Yankees have compiled an on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a team batting average of .229 so far this season. The Yankees hold a team SLG% of .424 and they are recording 4.94 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have struck out on 279 occasions (10th in the league) and have tallied 232 base hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.138 and have a FIP of 3.48 as a staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (268 strikeouts against 85 free passes). They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 227. They have allowed 26 homers and they give up 3.48 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 106 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.12 (95 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 29 save situations, the Yankees have earned 14 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 14 save chances and they have converted 9 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.1% of 45 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 31 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 13th in the league with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 96 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

In their 2,472 innings on the diamond, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in MLB). The New York Yankees have turned 21 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Yankees have 284 assists, 16 errors and have earned 824 putouts so far this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Weathers has given up 323 hits while tallying 275 K's in 314 innings. Weathers (13-25 career mark) has earned a 4.75 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 166 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.369 and having a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and he has faced 1,349 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+150)

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