Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+126) New York (-152)

The New York Yankees (20-11) will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (15-16) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Orioles at +126 and the Yankees are priced at -152. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Kyle Bradish and Max Fried.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 13th in the league. They have notched a total of 145 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .323. The Orioles have earned 53 doubles as a team and have hit 37 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 144 runs batted in and 244 hits this season, and their team batting average sits at .237. Baltimore is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 284 times, while drawing a walk on 126 occasions.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.29 on the year (20th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 266 batters. Orioles pitchers have given up 36 long balls and 157 runs in total (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 106 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.17 as a squad so far this year. Baltimore has relinquished 286 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 132 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.51 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.42.

The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 76.9% and have entered the game in 34 save situations. They have 10 saves so far this year and have blown 3 of 13 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 38 runners so far this year with 13.2% of those players earned a run for their team. Orioles bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 27 times as well as having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 107 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen have a total of 20 holds this year (12th in baseball).

The Orioles have converted 66.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,490 innings on the field, which has them sitting 29th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 830 putouts this season, in addition to 273 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which ranks 26th in professional baseball, and they have turned 25 double plays.

Bradish has thrown 387 frames and has accounted for 410 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Bradish (20-18 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 1,605 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.53 (152 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.209. He has given up 336 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 132 walks.

The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .324 and a team batting average of .229 this season. They have struck out on 279 occasions (10th in MLB) and have totaled 232 base knocks. New York is sitting with 48 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 145 RBIs. The Yankees hold a slugging % of .424 and they have an average of 4.94 runs per game (8th in the league). They have notched 46 doubles, while taking a walk 138 times and scoring 153 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.138 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.48 as a team over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (268 strikeouts against 85 free passes). They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 227. They have conceded 26 dingers and they allow 3.48 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 106 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.12 (95 earned runs conceded).

They sit at 13th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 96 relievers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 31 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 29 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 14 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 14 save opportunities and they have recorded 9 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of 45 inherited base runners.

The New York Yankees have gotten 21 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in the majors). The Yankees have 284 assists, 16 errors and have accumulated 824 putouts this season. Out of their 2,472 innings on the diamond, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in professional baseball).

Fried (96-42 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.00 ERA while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.52 and he has faced 4,592 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 375 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.138 and a FIP of 3.0. During his pro baseball career, Fried has given up 973 base hits and he has 1,089 K's in 1,126 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-152) and under 9 runs

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