Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+126) New York (-152)

The New York Yankees (92-67) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (78-81) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Orioles at +126 while the Yankees are sitting at -152. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Shane Baz and Ryan Yarbrough.

Baltimore is slugging .394 and have been rung up 1,489 times, while being walked on 576 occasions. They have recorded 679 RBI's in addition to 1,233 hits this season, while their team batting average is .233. The Orioles have accounted for 231 doubles as a squad and have smacked 194 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 705 runs scored and have an OBP of .313. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are knocking in 4.4 runs per contest, which has them at 16th in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Parlay Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.42 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 169 home runs and 731 total runs (20th in the league). Baltimore has conceded 1,369 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 644 earned runs. The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.08 for the year (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,282 batters. They have walked 529 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.06 as a squad for the year.

The Orioles have sent 535 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 227 base runners on the season and 26.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have tallied 84 holds over the course of the season (16th in MLB). Orioles pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 165 times as well as having 171 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 46 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 22 out of their 68 save chances. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 67.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 155 save situations.

The Orioles have turned 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,774 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 26th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 4,258 putouts for the season, as well as 1,363 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in the majors, and they have turned 122 double plays.

Baz (23-32 career mark) has a FIP of 4.14 while he has gone up against 1,965 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 427 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 166 free passes. His earned run average is 4.20 (217 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.275. Baz has pitched in 465 innings and is sitting with 447 punch outs thus far in his career.

New York has tallied 223 home runs on the season as well as 698 RBIs. They have hit 221 two-baggers, while taking a walk 566 times and scoring 731 runs. The New York Yankees have accumulated an on-base percentage of .311 as well as a team batting average of .234 on the campaign. The Yankees have a team slugging % of .410 and they average 4.60 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,457 occasions (6th in baseball) and have totaled 1,233 base hits.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.165 with a FIP of 3.68 as a squad so far this season. They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,180. The New York pitching staff have conceded 588 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.20 (506 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.00 (1,421 strikeouts against 478 bases on balls). They have allowed 160 home runs and they allow 3.72 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.2% out of 270 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 175 times in high leverage situations in addition to 189 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 162 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 86 holds and also 28 blown saves. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.6%, and they have dispatched 525 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

In 12,810 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (7th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 123 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Yankees have racked up 1,387 assists, 95 errors and are sitting with 4,270 putouts so far this year.

In his career, Yarbrough has allowed 840 base hits while earning 698 strikeouts in 893 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 416 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.185 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.20 and he has faced 3,728 batters so far in his MLB career. Yarbrough (58-42 career record) has earned a 4.19 ERA and has given up 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+126)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.