Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+150) Pittsburgh (-182)

The Baltimore Orioles (3-3) are headed to PNC Park on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (3-3). The moneyline on this contest has the Orioles at +150 and the Pirates are priced at -182. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Chris Bassitt and Braxton Ashcraft.

The Orioles have hit 10 doubles as a unit and have smacked 5 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .383 and have struck out 58 times, while taking a walk on 22 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in MLB. They have recorded 26 runs batted in in addition to 50 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .255. They have racked up 26 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .332.

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The Orioles are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.33 on the season (23rd in baseball), and they have struck out 58 batters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 6 long balls and 27 total runs (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 23 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.89 as a team this year. Baltimore has allowed 51 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 26 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.37.

The Orioles have sent 20 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 10 base runners over the course of the season with 0.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have accumulated 3 holds over the course of the season (15th in MLB). Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 5 times in addition to having 5 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have turned 66.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 486 innings, which has them sitting at 26th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 162 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 44 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .976 which is 24th in baseball, and have earned 5 double plays.

Bassitt has taken the mound for 1,282 frames and has 1,194 K's during his MLB career. Bassitt (83-66 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.60 while he has gone up against 5,435 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.66 (521 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.250. He has surrendered 1,190 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 413 walks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .231 this year. They have struck out on 59 instances (14th in MLB) and have notched a total of 50 base knocks. Pittsburgh is sitting with 10 long balls so far this year as well as 29 runs batted in. The Pirates hold a slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.83 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have put up 6 doubles, while getting a free base 25 times and recording 29 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.352 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a unit on the campaign. They are currently ranked 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 41. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 26 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.67 (22 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 10.30 (62 strikeouts vs 32 free passes). They have conceded 6 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

Their relievers have come in 12 times in high leverage situations and also on 8 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 25 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 3 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Pirates have 38 assists, 3 errors and have earned a total of 162 putouts this year. In 486 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (9th in the majors).

In his career, Ashcraft has allowed 67 base hits while he has tallied 74 punch outs in 75 innings. Ashcraft (4-5 career win-loss mark) has a 2.75 ERA and has given up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 23 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.263 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and he has gone up against 317 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-182)

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