Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-152) Tampa Bay (+126)

The Tampa Bay Rays (29-15) host the Baltimore Orioles (20-26) at Tropicana Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at -152 and Tampa Bay is opening at +126. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Kyle Bradish and Griffin Jax.

Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .384 and have been called out on strikes 435 times, while drawing a walk on 182 occasions. They have 202 RBI's and 361 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is at .232. The Orioles have earned 80 two-baggers as a team and have hit 49 balls out of the park. They have earned 205 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .315. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which is 15th in the league.

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The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.74 this year (25th in the league), and their staff has struck out 386 hitters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 57 long balls and 249 runs in total (28th in the league). They have walked 177 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.43 as a team for the season. Baltimore has surrendered 419 base knocks (9.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 218 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.18 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.44.

Orioles relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 40 times in addition to having 45 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 27 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). The Orioles bullpen have recorded a save rate of 76.5% and have entered the game in 45 save situations. They have accumulated 13 saves over the course of the season and have blown 4 out of their 17 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners on the season and 17.2% of those players crossing the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 161 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 1,243 putouts so far this season, as well as 389 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 26th in the majors, and they have turned 37 double plays. The Orioles have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs in their 3,729 innings, which has them sitting at 29th in professional baseball.

Bradish has taken the mound for 404 frames and has accumulated 431 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.56 (160 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.207. He has surrendered 348 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 140 free passes. Bradish (21-20 career mark) has a FIP of 3.51 and he has gone up against 1,675 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Rays have a team slugging % of .383 and they average 4.60 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have put up 57 two-baggers, while getting a free base 151 times as well as scoring 207 runs. Tampa Bay is sitting with 38 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 194 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 322 instances (29th in the league) and have 391 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have compiled an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .258 for the year.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.187 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.99 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 340. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 182 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.59 (162 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.70 (348 strikeouts against 142 walks). They have conceded 46 homers and they give up 4.03 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

They are ranked 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 148 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 55 times in high leverage situations and also on 46 occasions with base runners. With 66 save situations, the Rays have recorded 38 holds and also 8 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 28 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% out of their 60 inherited base runners.

Out of their 3,660 innings on the field, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (3rd in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 28 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (28th in MLB). The Rays have 371 assists, 31 errors and have a tally of 1,220 putouts this year.

In his pro baseball career, Jax has allowed 327 base hits while totaling 423 strikeouts in 379 frames. Jax (24-33 career record) is the owner of a 4.03 earned run average while conceding 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 170 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.174 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.58 and he has faced 1,582 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (-152)

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