Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-152) Tampa Bay (+126)

Tropicana Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (29-15) will play the Baltimore Orioles (20-26) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Orioles at -152 while the Rays are coming in at +126. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Shane Baz and Steven Matz.

The Orioles have tallied 80 two-baggers as a team and have hit 49 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore is slugging .384 and have struck out 435 times, while being walked on 182 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.4 runs/g, which puts them at 15th in MLB. They have earned 202 RBI's and 361 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .232. They have notched a total of 205 runs scored and have an OBP of .315.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.44. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 57 long balls and also 249 runs in total (28th in baseball). Baltimore has surrendered 419 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and also 218 earned runs. The Orioles have an ERA of 4.74 on the year (25th in baseball), and they have rung up 386 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 177 hitters and their FIP is 4.43 as a team on the year.

The Orioles have dispatched 161 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners for the year and 17.2% of them crossing home plate. The relievers are sitting with 27 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). Orioles pitchers have entered the game with runners on 40 times as well as having 45 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 13 saves on the year and have blown 4 of their 17 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 76.5% and stepped onto the hill in 45 save situations.

The Orioles have transformed 67.9% of balls in play into outs out of 3,729 innings, ranking them 29th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have notched a total of 1,243 putouts so far this season, as well as 389 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which is 26th in pro baseball, and have earned 37 double plays.

Baz has thrown 337 innings and is sitting with 335 K's in his career. Baz (18-22 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.34 while he has gone up against 1,424 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.41 (165 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.273. He has allowed 304 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 125 free passes.

Tampa Bay has hit 38 home runs this year and 194 RBIs. They have hit 57 doubles, while taking a walk 151 times and recording 207 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays hold a team OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .258 on the season. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .383 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 322 occasions (29th in the league) and have earned 391 base hits.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.187 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.99 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (348 strikeouts vs 142 free passes). They are sitting at 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 340. They have surrendered 46 long balls and they yield 4.03 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 182 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.59 (162 earned runs allowed).

With 66 save situations, the Rays have tallied 38 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to enter the game in 28 save chances and they have come away with 20 saves. Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 25.0% out of their 60 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 55 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with runners on base. They rank 7th in MLB holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 148 relievers to the mound this year.

In 3,660 innings on the diamond, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (3rd in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 28 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (28th in MLB). The Rays have accrued 371 assists, 31 errors and are sitting with 1,220 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Matz has surrendered 1,051 base hits while he has tallied 968 K's in 1,041 innings pitched. Matz (64-63 career win-loss record) has a 4.18 earned run average while surrendering 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 484 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.301 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and he has faced 4,432 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+126)

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