Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 8/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+132) Tampa Bay (-160)

The Baltimore Orioles (58-63) are hitting the road to Tropicana Field on Sunday where they will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (74-46). The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at +132 while Tampa Bay is at -160. The total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Trevor Rogers and Freddy Peralta.

The Orioles have recorded 175 doubles as a team and have knocked 143 baseballs out of the stadium. Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .395 and have been called out on strikes 1,112 times, while taking a walk on 468 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have accumulated 524 RBI's as well as 944 base knocks this year, while their batting average sits at .235. They have accumulated 543 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320.

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The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 4.24 this season (19th in the league), and their staff has struck out 959 batters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 129 home runs and also 579 total runs (22nd in the league). They have walked 403 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.07 as a team this season. Baltimore has yielded 1,043 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 506 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.38 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.35.

The Orioles have dispatched 397 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 149 runners on the season and 28.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The bullpen have racked up 63 holds for the season (15th in the league). Orioles relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 111 times and also have had 116 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 31 saves so far this year and have not converted 16 of their 47 save opportunities. The Orioles relievers have recorded a save percentage of 66.0% and have come into the game in 112 save situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3,224 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,039 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which ranks 27th in MLB, and they have turned 87 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 9,672 innings, ranking them 26th in baseball.

Rogers (31-45 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.84 and he has gone up against 2,724 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 596 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 229 free passes. His earned run average is 3.90 (277 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.291. Rogers has taken the hill for 639 innings and has accounted for 623 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Rays have a team SLG% of .408 and they earn 4.58 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have notched 173 doubles, while taking a walk 393 times as well as putting up 549 runs. Tampa Bay has 128 home runs so far this year as well as 523 RBIs. They have struck out on 854 occasions (30th in MLB) and have earned 1,049 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have an on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a batting average of .261 for the year.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 487 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.70 (440 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 148 long balls and they surrender 4.10 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.141 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.03 as a staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.20 (977 strikeouts vs 305 bases on balls). They come in at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 916.

They rank 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 77.4%, and they have dispatched 381 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 118 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 154 save situations, the Rays have 92 holds and also 14 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to take the mound in 62 save chances and they have walked away with 48 saves. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of their 139 inherited base runners.

Out of their 9,630 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (2nd in professional baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 80 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in pro baseball). The Rays have 945 assists, 72 errors and are sitting with 3,210 putouts on the season.

Peralta (70-42 career mark) holds a 3.65 earned run average and has surrendered 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.21 and he has gone up against 3,896 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 381 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.139 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Peralta has conceded 709 base hits and he has 1,161 strikeouts in 940 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+132)

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