Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 8/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, August 17, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Tampa Bay (-132)

The Baltimore Orioles (60-63) are traveling to Tropicana Field on Monday where they will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (74-48). The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at +110 while Tampa Bay is priced at -132. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Brandon Young and Nick Martinez.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 14th in baseball. They have notched a total of 553 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .320. The Orioles have accumulated 177 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 147 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 534 runs batted in and 965 base knocks on the season, while their batting average sits at .236. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .397 and have been rung up 1,133 times, while drawing a walk on 473 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. Orioles pitchers have given up 129 home runs in addition to 587 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Baltimore has given up 1,063 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and also 514 earned runs. The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.23 over the course of the season (19th in the league), and their staff has rung up 970 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 414 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a unit for the season.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 115 times as well as having 124 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 67 holds for the year (13th in baseball). The Orioles relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.0% and have come into the game in 119 save situations. They have recorded 33 saves this season and have blown 17 of their 50 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 152 runners so far this year and 27.6% of those runners ended up scoring. The Orioles have dispatched 407 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Orioles have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 9,843 innings on the diamond, ranking them 26th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 3,281 putouts for the season, as well as 1,059 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which puts them in 27th in pro baseball, and they have turned 88 double plays.

Young has pitched in 170 innings and is sitting with 140 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.33 (82 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.403. He has surrendered 176 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 63 free passes. Young (10-10 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.27 and he has faced 743 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Tampa Bay has knocked in 128 long balls so far this year to go along with 530 runs batted in. They have hit 175 doubles, while getting a free base 404 times and putting up 557 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays hold an OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .261 on the season. The Rays hold a team SLG% of .407 and they average 4.57 runs per game (11th in the league). They have struck out on 865 instances (30th in the league) and have a total of 1,069 base knocks.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.145 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 937. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have relinquished 497 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.71 (449 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (998 strikeouts against 310 free passes). They have given up 152 home runs and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).

Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.2% of 142 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 121 times in high leverage situations and also on 99 occasions with runners on base. With 154 save situations, the Rays have 92 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are ranked 2nd in MLB holding a save rate of 77.4%, and they have dispatched 390 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 9,801 innings played, the Rays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.0% (3rd in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 82 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in pro baseball). The Rays have racked up 964 assists, 73 errors and have 3,267 putouts on the season.

Martinez (60-62 record in his career) has a 3.97 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.42 and he has faced 4,539 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 476 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.275 and a FIP of 3.9. So far in his pro baseball career, Martinez has conceded 1,065 base knocks while he has tallied 748 strikeouts in 1,078 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-132)

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