Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 11, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+106) Toronto (-128)

Rogers Centre is where the Toronto Blue Jays (73-74) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (71-76) on Friday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +106 and Toronto is at -128. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Chris Bassitt and Max Scherzer.

The Orioles have accumulated 216 doubles as a team and have hit 176 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .394 and have been called out on strikes 1,361 times, while drawing a walk on 544 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.5 runs/g, which has them at 15th in baseball. They have 638 RBI's and 1,146 hits on the season, while their batting average comes in at .234. They have 661 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.15 so far this year (15th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,182 batters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 157 home runs in addition to 688 total runs (22nd in MLB). They have walked 485 batters and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a unit this year. Baltimore has surrendered 1,272 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 604 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Orioles relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 66.1% and have come into the game in 144 save situations. They have tallied 41 saves on the season and have not converted 21 of their 62 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 196 base runners so far this season and 26.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 146 times in addition to having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 490 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 79 holds for the season (16th in the league).

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 3,931 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,255 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them ranked 23rd in the majors, and have earned 111 double plays. The Orioles have transformed 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,793 innings, which ranks them 27th in pro baseball.

Bassitt has thrown 1,363 frames and has earned 1,252 K's during his career. Bassitt (89-70 career record) holds a FIP of 3.67 and he has gone up against 5,798 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.72 (564 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.268. He has surrendered 1,286 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 442 free passes.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .383 and they score 4.01 runs per game (29th in the league). They have 233 two-baggers, while getting a free base 407 times as well as racking up 589 runs. Toronto has hit 140 home runs for the season as well as 560 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,053 occasions (29th in the league) and have recorded 1,229 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .248 so far this season.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.292 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a squad on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (1,268 strikeouts against 535 bases on balls). They are sitting at 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,152. They have allowed 153 homers and they relinquish 4.33 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 628 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.91 (567 earned runs conceded).

They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB holding a save rate of 76.9%, and they have sent 545 relief pitchers onto the diamond this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations and also on 156 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 163 save situations, the Blue Jays have 93 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Toronto has had relievers enter the game in 65 save opportunities and they have earned 50 saves. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.3% out of their 224 inherited runners.

In their 11,754 innings played, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (13th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 100 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (22nd in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,241 assists, 86 errors and have accumulated 3,918 putouts so far this year.

Scherzer (223-124 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.28 earned run average and has surrendered 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.39 and he has faced 12,259 hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed 1,101 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.090 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. In his career, Scherzer has given up 2,491 base knocks while earning 3,537 strikeouts in 3,025 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+106)

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