Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/15/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, May 15, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-160) Washington (+132)

Nationals Park is the location where the Washington Nationals (21-23) will attempt to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (20-24) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at -160 and the Nationals are coming in at +132. The over/under is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Shane Baz and Zack Littell.

Baltimore is slugging .378 and have struck out 404 times, while drawing a walk on 174 occasions. They have accumulated 190 RBI's and 334 hits this season, and their team batting average comes in at .231. The Orioles have recorded 74 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 44 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 193 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 13th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Orioles pitchers have allowed 52 home runs in addition to 230 runs in total (28th in baseball). Baltimore has surrendered 391 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 199 earned runs. The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 4.60 this season (26th in the league), and they have rung up 365 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 166 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a unit for the season.

The Orioles have sent 152 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 53 runners on the campaign with 15.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The bullpen have a total of 26 holds this season (10th in the league). Orioles pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 38 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 13 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 4 of 17 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 76.5% and have come into the game in 44 save situations.

The Orioles have converted 67.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,504 innings, which has them ranked 28th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with 1,168 putouts on the campaign, as well as 372 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which is 27th in pro baseball, and have earned 37 double plays.

Baz (18-21 career record) holds a FIP of 4.35 while he has gone up against 1,394 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 298 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 122 free passes. His ERA is 4.42 (162 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.272. Baz has pitched in 330 innings and has accounted for 331 punch outs so far in his career.

The Nationals hold a slugging % of .413 and they are earning 5.47 runs per game (2nd in baseball). They have recorded 81 doubles, while taking a walk 159 times as well as putting up 235 runs. Washington has accumulated 52 home runs on the year to go along with 221 runs batted in. They have struck out on 368 instances (11th in MLB) and have 362 hits. The Washington Nationals have an OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .245 on the season.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.421 with a FIP of 4.95 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.60 (326 strikeouts against 168 bases on balls). They sit at 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 382. They have relinquished 60 dingers and they allow 5.60 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Washington pitching staff have conceded 241 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.77 (205 earned runs surrendered).

With 49 save situations, the Nationals have earned 22 holds and also 12 blown saves. Washington has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 23 save chances and they have recorded 11 saves. Washington relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 44.3% out of 61 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 49 times in high leverage situations and on 42 occasions with runners on. They sit at 27th in MLB holding a save percentage of 47.8%, and they have sent 144 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Washington Nationals have turned 30 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .974 (30th in MLB). The Nationals have recorded 401 assists, 42 errors and have notched a total of 1,161 putouts on the season. In 3,483 innings on the field, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (21st in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Littell has conceded 642 hits and he has 513 strikeouts in 638 innings. Littell (35-33 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.06 ERA while conceding 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 288 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.238 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.47 and he has faced 2,682 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+132)

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