Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-128) Washington (+106)

Nationals Park is where the Washington Nationals (21-23) will meet the Baltimore Orioles (20-24) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at -128 and the Nationals are coming in at +106. The total has been set at 9. The men taking the mound are Brandon Young and Miles Mikolas.

Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .378 and have been called out on strikes 404 times, while drawing a walk on 174 occasions. They have accrued 190 runs batted in in addition to 334 hits so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .231. The Orioles have compiled 74 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 44 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 193 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are knocking in 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 14th in the league.

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The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.60 on the season (26th in the league), and their staff has rung up 365 hitters. Orioles pitchers have given up 52 home runs in addition to 230 total runs (28th in the league). They have walked 166 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a squad for the year. Baltimore has surrendered 391 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and also 199 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.20 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.43.

The Orioles have sent 152 relievers to the mound on the year. The relievers have inherited 53 runners on the campaign and 15.1% of those players crossing the plate. The bullpen are sitting with 26 holds so far this season (10th in the league). Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 38 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 13 saves so far this year and have blown 4 out of their 17 chances to save the game. The Orioles bullpen have compiled a save rate of 76.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 44 save situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 1,168 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 372 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which is 27th in baseball, and have a total of 37 double plays. The Orioles have turned 67.8% of balls in play into outs in their 3,504 innings, which ranks them 28th in pro baseball.

Young (4-8 career record) sits with a FIP of 5.54 and he has gone up against 371 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 92 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has 33 walks. His earned run average is 5.63 (52 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.502. Young has thrown 83 innings and has earned 66 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Washington has tallied 52 home runs on the year as well as 221 RBIs. They have hit 83 two-baggers, while walking 162 times and earning 236 runs. The Washington Nationals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .323 and a batting average of .242 for the year. The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .408 and they tally 5.36 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have struck out on 378 occasions (10th in the league) and have recorded 365 hits.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.438 in addition to having a FIP of 5.04 as a unit so far this season. They rank 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 396. The Washington pitching staff have conceded 256 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 5.01 (220 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.60 (335 strikeouts against 172 walks). They have surrendered 64 homers and they concede 5.83 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league).

With 49 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 22 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Washington has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 23 save opportunities and they have tallied 11 saves. Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 44.3% out of 61 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 49 times in high leverage situations in addition to 42 occasions with runners on base. They rank 27th in MLB holding a save percentage of 47.8%, and they have sent 146 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Washington Nationals have gotten 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .974 (30th in professional baseball). The Nationals have accrued 407 assists, 42 errors and have a tally of 1,185 putouts on the season. In 3,555 innings on the field, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in pro baseball).

Mikolas (73-78 record in his career) has earned a 4.32 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.55 and he has faced 5,380 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 618 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.225 and a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Mikolas has given up 1,319 base hits while tallying 919 strikeouts in 1,288 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+106)

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