Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-145) Baltimore (+125)

The Boston Red Sox (75-64) are traveling to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday where they will take on the Baltimore Orioles (69-70). The line on this contest has Boston at -145 while Baltimore opens at +125. The betting total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Jake Bennett and Brandon Young.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.5 runs per contest, which is 15th in the league. They have notched a total of 624 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .323. The Red Sox have hit 253 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 142 balls out of the stadium. They have 595 RBI's and 1,165 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .250. Boston is slugging .405 and have been called out on strikes 1,121 times, while being walked on 447 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 138 long balls in addition to 542 runs in total (5th in the league). Boston has given up 1,130 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 500 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 3.64 for the season (4th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,187 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 402 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.73 as a team for the year.

Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 111 times as well as having 126 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 82 holds this year (9th in the league). The Red Sox relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 74.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 134 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves on the year and have missed out on 13 out of their 50 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 147 runners on the campaign with 30.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The Red Sox have sent 427 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Red Sox have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,127 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have amassed 3,709 putouts for the season, as well as 1,205 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 18th in baseball, and have accumulated 100 double plays.

Bennett has taken the hill for 93 innings and is sitting with 74 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 3.28 (34 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.041. He has conceded 79 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 18 walks. Bennett (9-6 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.23 while he has faced 373 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Baltimore has hit 169 home runs for the season as well as 607 runs batted in. They have notched 204 doubles, while taking a walk 520 times as well as racking up 630 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have compiled a team on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .235 this year. The Orioles have a slugging percentage of .397 and they are earning 4.53 runs per outing (12th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,281 occasions (4th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,088 base hits.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.347 and have a FIP of 4.07 as a squad so far this year. They are sitting at 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,205. The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 649 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.16 (572 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.00 (1,103 strikeouts against 460 walks). They have yielded 147 dingers and they surrender 4.72 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball).

Sitting with 137 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 76 holds and 19 blown saves. Baltimore has had relief pitchers enter the game in 58 save opportunities and they have recorded 39 saves. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.9% of 179 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 149 times in high leverage situations and also on 132 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 67.2%, and they have dispatched 460 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 106 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Orioles have accrued 1,188 assists, 83 errors and have notched a total of 3,710 putouts this season. Out of their 11,130 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (26th in baseball).

During his career, Young has allowed 195 base knocks while accumulating 150 K's in 187 innings. Young (10-10 career record) holds a 4.28 ERA and has conceded 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 89 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.404 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.21 and he has gone up against 812 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125) and under 8 runs

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