Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, September 4, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-122) Baltimore (+102)

The Boston Red Sox (75-65) are headed to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday where they will meet the Baltimore Orioles (69-71). The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -122 while the Orioles are priced at +102. The over/under has been set at 8. The men taking the mound are Ranger Suarez and Shane Baz.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in baseball. They have earned 627 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .323. The Red Sox have earned 258 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 143 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 598 runs batted in and 1,177 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .250. Boston has a slugging rate of .407 and have been called out on strikes 1,126 times, while taking a walk on 448 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Parlay Picks

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 138 home runs and 550 runs (5th in the league). Boston has relinquished 1,142 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 507 earned runs. The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.66 so far this season (4th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,192 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 407 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.74 as a squad on the season.

The Red Sox have sent 429 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 148 base runners on the season and 30.4% of those runners crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have earned 82 holds so far this season (9th in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 112 times and also have had 126 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 37 saves so far this year and have missed out on 13 out of their 50 save opportunities. The Red Sox bullpen have recorded a save rate of 74.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 134 save situations.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 3,736 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,217 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 18th in baseball, and have earned 102 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,208 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball.

Suarez has pitched in 885 innings and has totaled 824 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.42 (336 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.266. He has given up 842 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 279 free passes. Suarez (58-41 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.36 while he has gone up against 3,713 hitters in the major leagues.

The Orioles hold a team slugging percentage of .396 and they earn 4.54 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have tallied 205 two-baggers, while taking a walk 523 times as well as scoring 635 runs. Baltimore has accumulated 169 home runs for the year as well as 612 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,288 occasions (4th in the league) and have recorded 1,098 base knocks. The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with an OBP of .317 as well as a team batting average of .235 this season.

The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 655 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.16 (577 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 147 home runs and they give up 4.73 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.346 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.04 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (1,120 strikeouts against 462 walks). They have a ranking of 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,217.

Baltimore relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of their 183 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 155 times in high leverage situations and also on 137 occasions with runners on. With 141 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 78 holds and 21 blown saves. They are currently ranked 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 65.0%, and they have sent 466 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 107 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in MLB). The Orioles have 1,195 assists, 83 errors and are sitting with 3,742 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,226 innings on the diamond, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (27th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Baz has allowed 405 base hits while accumulating 432 punch outs in 443 innings pitched. He has given up 205 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.271 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 and he has gone up against 1,865 hitters in his pro baseball career. Baz (22-31 record in his career) has a 4.16 ERA and has given up 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (+102) and under 8 runs

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.