Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 7/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-145) Chicago (+125)

The Boston Red Sox (41-48) are headed to Rate Field on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Chicago White Sox (47-43). The moneyline on this game has Boston at -145 while Chicago is coming in at +125. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Patrick Sandoval and Anthony Kay.

The Red Sox have accrued 157 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 80 balls out of the park. Boston has a slugging rate of .388 and have struck out 733 times, while drawing a walk on 265 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in baseball. They have 349 RBI's as well as 729 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is .244. They have 365 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .314.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.91 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 94 long balls and 353 total runs (4th in the league). Boston has surrendered 715 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 327 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 3.74 on the campaign (7th in MLB), and they have struck out 762 hitters. They have walked 262 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.87 as a team this season.

The Red Sox bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 69.0% and have entered the game in 80 save situations. They have tallied 20 saves on the year and have blown 9 of 29 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 106 runners on the season and 33.0% of them crossing home plate. Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 72 times in addition to having 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 273 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have a total of 50 holds on the season (14th in the league).

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 2,359 putouts on the year, as well as 755 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 9th in MLB, and have earned 57 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs out of 7,077 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB.

Sandoval (19-45 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.95 and he has gone up against 2,334 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 510 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 236 free passes. His ERA is 4.01 (239 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.392. Sandoval has taken the hill for 536 innings and has 529 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Chicago has hit 125 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 411 RBIs. They have recorded 132 doubles, while walking 310 times and putting up 429 runs. The Chicago White Sox have a team on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .241 on the campaign. The White Sox have a team slugging percentage of .414 and they average 4.77 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have struck out on 809 instances (7th in MLB) and have notched a total of 724 hits.

The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.343 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.31 as a squad so far this year. They are sitting at 9th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 720. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 410 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.25 (376 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (760 strikeouts vs 350 free passes). They have yielded 98 dingers and they allow 4.63 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

They are ranked 24th in MLB with a save percentage of 56.8%, and they have dispatched 306 relievers onto the field for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 99 occasions with base runners. With 75 save situations, the White Sox have recorded 31 holds and also 19 blown saves. Chicago has called on relievers to take the mound in 44 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.1% of 148 inherited runners.

The Chicago White Sox have turned 64 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in baseball). The White Sox have racked up 746 assists, 44 errors and are sitting with 2,391 putouts so far this year. In 7,173 innings on the field, the White Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in baseball).

Kay (10-5 career mark) has a 4.95 earned run average and has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.94 and he has gone up against 774 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 93 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.502 and a FIP of 4.9. So far in his MLB career, Kay has surrendered 174 base hits while he has totaled 155 K's in 169 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-145)

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