Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-130) Detroit (+110)

The Detroit Tigers (18-17) will play the Boston Red Sox (13-21) at Comerica Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Boston at -130 while Detroit is coming in at +110. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Brayan Bello and Framber Valdez.

The Red Sox have hit 57 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 23 balls out of the park. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .353 and have been called out on strikes 280 times, while taking a walk on 114 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are notching 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 27th in the league. They have recorded 125 runs batted in as well as 267 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .235. They have earned a total of 130 runs scored while having a team OBP of .315.

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The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 4.24 this year (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 268 batters. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 44 long balls in addition to 149 total runs (13th in the league). They have walked 114 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.56 as a team over the course of the season. Boston has conceded 286 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 141 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.34.

The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 60.0% and have entered the game in 27 save situations. They have accumulated 6 saves so far this year and have blown 4 of 10 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 47 runners over the course of the season with 31.9% of them crossing home plate. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 32 times and also have had 30 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 106 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 17 holds so far this season (21st in the league).

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 898 putouts thus far, in addition to 317 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which puts them in 10th in pro baseball, and they have turned 27 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,694 innings, ranking them 14th in baseball.

Bello has taken the ball for 568 frames and is sitting with 481 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.32 (273 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.402. He has conceded 587 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 210 free passes. Bello (40-40 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.26 while he has faced 2,471 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .407 and they are recording 4.51 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have 64 doubles, while taking a walk 133 times as well as putting up 158 runs. Detroit has 35 long balls on the year as well as 151 RBIs. They have been rung up on 287 occasions (14th in baseball) and have a total of 293 base knocks. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated an on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .251 so far this year.

The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.308 in addition to having a FIP of 3.79 as a team this year. They are sitting at 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 273. The Detroit pitching staff have given up 140 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.81 (128 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (286 strikeouts against 122 bases on balls). They have conceded 28 dingers and they concede 4.17 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).

Sitting with 29 save situations, the Tigers have compiled 15 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Detroit has had relievers take the mound in 13 save chances and they have recorded 8 saves. Detroit relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.9% of 65 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 28 times in high leverage situations and on 40 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have sent 102 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Detroit Tigers have gotten 30 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in baseball). The Tigers have recorded 293 assists, 18 errors and have 907 putouts this year. In 2,721 innings played, the Tigers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Valdez has allowed 949 base hits while totaling 1,085 punch outs in 1,120 innings pitched. Valdez (83-53 career record) has earned a 3.37 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 419 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.207 and having a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.69 and he has gone up against 4,656 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-130)

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