Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, August 24, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-152) Miami (+126)

The Miami Marlins (66-64) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (70-59) at LoanDepot Park on Monday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -152 and the Marlins are priced at +126. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Ranger Suarez and Tyler Phillips.

Boston owns a slugging percentage of .406 and have struck out 1,046 times, while drawing a walk on 414 occasions. They have amassed 559 runs batted in in addition to 1,083 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate is at .251. The Red Sox have tallied 234 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 132 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 584 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 13th in the league.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 3.51 over the course of the season (3rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,105 batters. Red Sox pitchers have given up 125 home runs and also 486 runs (3rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 368 opposing players and their FIP is 3.66 as a team on the campaign. Boston has conceded 1,033 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 448 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.00 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 76.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 127 save situations. They have compiled 35 saves on the season and have blown 11 of 46 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 135 runners on the season with 31.1% of those players ended up scoring. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 100 times as well as having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 397 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have recorded 79 holds for the season (9th in MLB).

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 3,442 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,125 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which ranks 13th in the majors, and have 95 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,326 innings on the field, which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball.

Suarez has taken the mound for 875 innings and has totaled 818 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.38 (329 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.259. He has given up 829 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 273 free passes. Suarez (58-40 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.33 while he has faced 3,664 batters during his time in the majors.

The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .326 as well as a batting average of .249 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,059 occasions (18th in the league) and have recorded 1,075 base hits. Miami has knocked in 133 HRs on the campaign to go along with 544 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .402 and they earn 4.36 runs per game (19th in the league). They have 203 doubles, while walking 440 times as well as notching 567 runs.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.250 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.98 as a unit on the season. They sit at 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 992. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 550 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.92 (496 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,068 strikeouts vs 432 free passes). They have given up 129 long balls and they concede 4.35 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

They rank 16th in the league with a save percentage of 63.8%, and they have sent 417 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 119 times in high leverage situations and on 108 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 121 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 72 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 47 save opportunities and they have come away with 30 saves. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 23.3% out of their 159 inherited base runners.

The Miami Marlins have turned 95 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Marlins have accrued 1,074 assists, 83 errors and have earned 3,417 putouts so far this year. In 10,251 innings played, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (9th in pro baseball).

Phillips (9-8 record in his career) has a 3.91 ERA while surrendering 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.18 and he has faced 907 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 93 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 3.8. During his MLB career, Phillips has surrendered 206 hits while he has accumulated 159 punch outs in 214 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+126)

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