Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-122) New York (+102)

The Boston Red Sox (42-48) are traveling to Citi Field on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (39-54). The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -122 while the Mets open at +102. The total is set at 8. The men taking the mound are Sonny Gray and Nolan McLean.

The Red Sox have compiled 160 doubles as a squad and have hit 80 baseballs out of the park. Boston has a slugging % of .388 and have been called out on strikes 744 times, while taking a walk on 268 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, which is 24th in baseball. They have accumulated 353 runs batted in and 739 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .245. They have racked up 370 runs scored and hold an OBP of .314.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 3.70 on the campaign (7th in MLB), and they have rung up 768 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 94 home runs and 353 total runs (3rd in MLB). They have walked 263 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a team for the season. Boston has given up 719 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 327 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Red Sox bullpen have earned a save rate of 69.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 80 save situations. They have accumulated 20 saves this season and have blown 9 of their 29 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 106 base runners for the year with 33.0% of them crossing the plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 72 times and also have had 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 275 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have earned 50 holds for the season (14th in baseball).

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 2,386 putouts this year, in addition to 765 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which ranks 7th in MLB, and have accumulated 58 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,158 innings on the field, which ranks them 14th in professional baseball.

Gray has thrown 2,007 frames and has earned 2,007 punch outs in his career. Gray (135-103 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.48 while he has faced 8,311 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.54 (789 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.193. He has conceded 1,751 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 644 free passes.

The Mets have a SLG% of .381 and they have an average of 4.16 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have 113 two-baggers, while taking a walk 286 times and recording 387 runs. New York has compiled 108 home runs on the campaign and 369 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 765 occasions (19th in the league) and have a total of 732 base knocks. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .303 in addition to a batting average of .234 over the course of the season.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 447 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.35 (400 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 101 home runs and they give up 4.86 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.319 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.03 as a staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.20 (851 strikeouts against 336 bases on balls). They are sitting at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 756.

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.9% out of their 123 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 103 times in high leverage situations in addition to 92 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 62 save situations, the Mets have accrued 34 holds and 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 288 relievers to the hill on the year.

In their 7,458 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors). The Mets have 752 assists, 61 errors and have earned a total of 2,486 putouts for the season.

McLean (11-6 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.20 earned run average while giving up 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and he has gone up against 610 batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 53 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.093 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. In his pro baseball career, McLean has allowed 110 base hits while earning 175 K's in 149 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+102)

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