Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, August 28, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) New York (-130)

The Boston Red Sox (73-60) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will try to beat the New York Yankees (75-57). The moneyline on this matchup has Boston at +110 while New York is sitting at -130. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Patrick Sandoval and Cam Schlittler.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball. They have notched a total of 600 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .324. The Red Sox have hit 241 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 136 balls out of the park. They have 573 runs batted in in addition to 1,115 hits this year, and their batting average is sitting at .250. Boston has a slugging percentage of .405 and have been called out on strikes 1,071 times, while drawing a walk on 428 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.22. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 127 home runs and also 499 runs (3rd in MLB). Boston has allowed 1,067 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 457 earned runs. The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.47 over the course of the season (3rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,139 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 382 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.65 as a unit this year.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 103 times as well as having 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 80 holds over the course of the season (9th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 75.5% and have entered the game in 131 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves this season and have blown 12 out of their 49 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 138 base runners so far this year and 30.4% of them ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 409 relievers to the mound this year.

The Red Sox have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,659 innings on the field, which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 3,553 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,158 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them ranked 18th in professional baseball, and they have turned 97 double plays.

Sandoval has taken the hill for 575 innings and has accounted for 570 K's in his career. His earned run average is 4.05 (259 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.419. He has given up 562 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 254 walks. Sandoval (20-47 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.99 while he has faced 2,518 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .409 and they score 4.51 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have recorded 196 two-baggers, while taking a walk 483 times and recording 595 runs. New York has recorded 183 home runs so far this year as well as 567 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,215 instances (5th in the league) and have earned 1,008 hits. The New York Yankees have tallied a team OBP of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .231 so far this year.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.177 in addition to having a FIP of 3.66 as a unit on the season. They are sitting at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 986. The New York pitching staff have given up 491 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.24 (424 earned runs allowed). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,183 strikeouts vs 402 walks). They have relinquished 131 dingers and they relinquish 3.75 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

With 138 save situations, the Yankees have earned 72 holds and 26 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have recorded 39 saves. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 21.2% out of 226 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 157 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 20th in the league holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 442 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

In their 10,617 innings on the diamond, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in MLB). The Yankees have accrued 1,156 assists, 74 errors and have a total of 3,539 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Schlittler has allowed 173 base knocks while he has earned 277 punch outs in 231 frames. He has conceded a total of 62 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.043 and a FIP of 2.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.07 and he has faced 931 hitters so far in his career. Schlittler (15-9 career record) has earned a 2.42 ERA while conceding 6.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-130) and under 8.5 runs

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