Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Yankees (75-58) host the Boston Red Sox (73-60) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at +106 while the Yankees are coming in at -128. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Brayan Bello and Max Fried.

The Red Sox have accounted for 241 doubles as a squad and have knocked 136 baseballs out of the stadium. Boston is slugging .405 and have been rung up 1,071 times, while drawing a walk on 428 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB. They have tallied 573 RBI's as well as 1,115 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is sitting at .250. They are sitting with 600 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 3.47 on the season (3rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,139 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 127 home runs and 499 total runs (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 382 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.65 as a unit so far this year. Boston has allowed 1,067 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 457 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Red Sox have sent 409 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 138 base runners this year and 30.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The bullpen have a total of 80 holds this year (9th in baseball). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 103 times as well as having 122 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 37 saves so far this season and have blown 12 out of their 49 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 75.5% and have entered the game in 131 save situations.

The Boston Red Sox have earned a total of 3,553 putouts on the year, as well as 1,158 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which has them ranked 18th in MLB, and have a total of 97 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,659 innings, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB.

Bello (44-42 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.12 while facing 2,733 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 642 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) with 225 free passes. His earned run average is 4.18 (294 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.369. Bello has taken the ball for 633 innings and has earned 532 punch outs so far in his career.

New York has knocked in 183 home runs so far this year as well as 568 RBIs. They have hit 197 doubles, while taking a walk 485 times and putting up 596 runs. The New York Yankees have earned an OBP of .310 as well as a batting average of .231 for the season. The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .408 and they score 4.48 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,226 occasions (5th in baseball) and have tallied 1,013 hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.177 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a unit on the year. They have a ranking of 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 995. The New York pitching staff have given up 496 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.24 (428 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,191 strikeouts against 404 bases on balls). They have given up 133 long balls and they give up 3.76 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

Sitting with 138 save situations, the Yankees have 72 holds and 26 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 65 save opportunities and they have recorded 39 saves. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 21.2% out of 226 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 156 times in high leverage situations and also on 157 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 444 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The New York Yankees have turned 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in the majors). The Yankees have recorded 1,163 assists, 76 errors and have accounted for 3,566 putouts for the season. In 10,698 innings played, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Fried has given up 1,006 hits and he has 1,131 K's in 1,165 innings pitched. Fried (96-45 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.02 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 391 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.141 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.49 and he has gone up against 4,747 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+106)

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