Boston Red Sox vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Monday, July 27, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-144) Sacramento (+120)

Sutter Health Park is where the Sacramento Athletics (44-59) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (53-49) on Monday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -144 while the Athletics are sitting at +120. The over/under is set at 8. The men taking the mound will be Payton Tolle and Jack Perkins.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. They have earned 432 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .315. The Red Sox have accumulated 180 doubles as a team and have knocked 98 baseballs out of the park. They have 414 RBI's and 834 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is .245. Boston is slugging .395 and have struck out 835 times, while taking a walk on 304 occasions.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.56 on the year (4th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 865 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 103 home runs in addition to 385 runs in total (2nd in baseball). They have walked 294 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.78 as a unit for the season. Boston has conceded 813 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 358 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22.

Red Sox pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 83 times in addition to having 87 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 62 holds for the season (9th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 73.7% and have entered the game in 102 save situations. They have accumulated 28 saves for the year and have blown 10 of their 38 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 120 runners this year and 30.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Red Sox have sent 316 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 2,713 putouts on the year, in addition to 869 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 12th in the majors, and have a total of 69 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,139 innings, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball.

Tolle has taken the ball for 105 innings and is sitting with 115 K's during his career. Tolle (5-7 career record) has a FIP of 3.70 while he has gone up against 441 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.76 (44 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.187. He has allowed 91 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 34 walks.

The Athletics hold a slugging percentage of .406 and they are scoring 4.47 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have recorded 158 doubles, while getting a free base 360 times as well as putting up 460 runs. Sacramento has hit 127 home runs for the season as well as 441 RBIs. They have been rung up on 893 occasions (10th in MLB) and have 867 base hits. The Sacramento Athletics have recorded an OBP of .324 and a batting average of .247 for the year.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.488 in addition to having a FIP of 5.02 as a staff this year. They come in at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 951. The Sacramento pitching staff have conceded 580 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 5.34 (543 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (876 strikeouts vs 411 walks). They have surrendered 163 home runs and they give up 5.70 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball).

With 107 save situations, the Athletics have accrued 60 holds and also 19 blown saves. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 45 save chances and they have walked away with 26 saves. Sacramento bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.6% out of their 174 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 102 times in high leverage situations and also on 116 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save rate of 57.8%, and they have sent 355 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Sacramento Athletics have turned 70 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (6th in pro baseball). The Athletics have 773 assists, 42 errors and have earned 2,746 putouts for the year. Out of their 8,238 innings played, the Athletics have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (28th in professional baseball).

Perkins (5-7 career record) holds a 5.83 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.69 and he has faced 446 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 65 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 5.7. During his career, Perkins has conceded 92 base knocks while totaling 113 punch outs in 100 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-144)

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