Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-132) Tampa Bay (+110)

The Boston Red Sox (27-36) are on their way to Tropicana Field on Wednesday where they will play the Tampa Bay Rays (37-25). The odds on this game have Boston at -132 and Tampa Bay is sitting at +110. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jake Bennett and Drew Rasmussen.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are recording 4.0 runs per game, which is 27th in MLB. They are sitting with 249 runs while having a team OBP of .316. The Red Sox have accumulated 111 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 48 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 239 runs batted in and 524 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .247. Boston has a slugging percentage of .378 and have been rung up 521 times, while drawing a walk on 187 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27. Red Sox pitchers have given up 70 home runs and 258 total runs (7th in baseball). Boston has yielded 512 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 240 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 3.88 for the year (9th in the league), and the staff has rung up 535 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 197 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a unit on the year.

The Red Sox relievers have a save rate of 70.0% and have come into the game in 53 save situations. They have earned 14 saves on the season and have blown 6 of their 20 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 75 runners for the year and 36.0% of them crossing home plate. Red Sox pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 52 times as well as having 56 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 192 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen have a total of 32 holds this year (19th in the league).

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 1,672 putouts so far this season, as well as 538 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball, and have earned 41 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,016 innings on the diamond, ranking them 20th in professional baseball.

Bennett has thrown 10 innings and has totaled 4 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 4.46 (5 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.485. He has given up 11 base hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 4 free passes. Bennett (1-1 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.39 and he has gone up against 42 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with an on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a team batting average of .255 on the year. They have struck out on 454 occasions (30th in the league) and have accounted for 532 hits. Tampa Bay has accumulated 52 long balls for the year as well as 268 RBIs. The Rays have a SLG% of .382 and they average 4.56 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have recorded 86 two-baggers, while taking a walk 229 times as well as scoring 283 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 276 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.95 (245 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 74 home runs and they relinquish 4.45 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Rays have a WHIP of 1.246 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.80 (482 strikeouts against 192 walks). They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 503.

They are ranked 8th in the league with a save percentage of 69.4%, and they have dispatched 197 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 66 times in high leverage situations and on 54 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Rays have earned 43 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 36 save opportunities and they have earned 25 saves. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.1% of 70 inherited base runners.

In their 5,022 innings on the diamond, the Rays have a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (7th in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 42 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Rays have accrued 517 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 1,674 putouts this season.

Rasmussen (35-19 mark in his career) has earned a 2.91 ERA and has conceded 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.76 and he has faced 2,098 batters so far in his career. He has surrendered 170 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.049 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. So far in his career, Rasmussen has given up 421 hits while he has totaled 492 punch outs in 526 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-132)

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