Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-144) Tampa Bay (+120)

The Boston Red Sox (27-35) are en route to Tropicana Field on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (37-24). The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox at -144 while the Rays are opening at +120. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Payton Tolle and Nick Martinez.

Boston is slugging .380 and have been called out on strikes 515 times, while drawing a walk on 186 occasions. They have accounted for 238 runs batted in as well as 518 hits on the year, and their batting average is sitting at .247. The Red Sox have accumulated 109 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 48 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 248 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .318. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are recording 4.0 runs/g, which ranks them 25th in MLB.

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The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.83 for the year (9th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 525 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 68 long balls and 252 runs in total (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 196 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a team over the course of the season. Boston has given up 502 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 234 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 51 times and also have had 55 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 32 holds this season (18th in MLB). The Red Sox relievers have earned a save percentage of 70.0% and have come into the game in 53 save situations. They have compiled 14 saves for the season and have blown 6 of 20 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 runners on the year with 34.2% of those players crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 189 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have 1,648 putouts for the season, in addition to 536 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 19th in baseball, and have a total of 41 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,944 innings on the field, which has them sitting 18th in MLB.

Tolle has taken the mound for 63 frames and has earned 70 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.28 (23 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.139. He has conceded 51 base hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 21 walks. Tolle (3-3 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.23 while facing 261 batters during his time in the majors.

Tampa Bay has tallied 52 HRs on the year and 267 RBIs. They have hit 86 doubles, while taking a walk 228 times as well as scoring 282 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with an on-base percentage of .335 in addition to a team batting average of .256 on the year. The Rays have a team SLG% of .385 and they earn 4.62 runs per outing (11th in the league). They have struck out on 444 instances (30th in the league) and have notched a total of 526 hits.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.244 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a team on the season. They sit at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 498. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 272 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.96 (242 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 7.80 (474 strikeouts vs 186 free passes). They have conceded 74 long balls and they surrender 4.45 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

Sitting with 78 save situations, the Rays have 43 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 35 save chances and they have recorded 25 saves. Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.1% out of 70 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 65 times in high leverage situations and also on 54 occasions with runners on base. They rank 6th in the league with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 194 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 41 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Rays have recorded 506 assists, 41 errors and are sitting with 1,650 putouts this year. In their 4,950 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (8th in baseball).

During his career, Martinez has surrendered 1,006 base knocks while he has tallied 712 strikeouts in 1,010 innings pitched. He has allowed 452 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.295 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 4,278 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Martinez (53-61 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.03 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-144)

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