Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-128) Texas (+106)

The Boston Red Sox (82-68) are traveling to Globe Life Field on Wednesday where they will take on the Texas Rangers (74-76). The moneyline on this game has Boston at -128 while Texas is at +106. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jake Bennett and Jacob deGrom.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have earned a total of 663 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .322. The Red Sox have tallied 271 doubles as a squad and have knocked 155 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 634 RBI's and 1,249 base knocks on the year, while their batting average comes in at .248. Boston has a slugging rate of .404 and have struck out 1,218 times, while being walked on 480 occasions.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 3.59 so far this year (3rd in the league), and they have struck out 1,298 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 147 long balls and 575 total runs (3rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 433 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a squad on the campaign. Boston has surrendered 1,218 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 532 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Red Sox have sent 457 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 155 runners for the year and 29.7% of those runners crossing the plate. The bullpen are sitting with 89 holds this season (9th in baseball). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 116 times in addition to having 137 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 42 saves on the season and have missed out on 14 out of their 56 chances to save the game. The Red Sox bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 75.0% and have entered the game in 147 save situations.

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 4,006 putouts this season, in addition to 1,307 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them ranked 14th in professional baseball, and they have turned 114 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,018 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in MLB.

Bennett (9-7 career record) holds a FIP of 3.63 while he has gone up against 418 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 93 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 19 free passes. His earned run average is 3.69 (43 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.067. Bennett has taken the ball for 105 frames and has accumulated 83 strikeouts in his career.

The Rangers have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they have an average of 4.16 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have tallied 217 doubles, while taking a walk 488 times as well as scoring 624 runs. Texas has recorded 173 home runs for the season as well as 603 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,280 occasions (10th in the league) and have tallied 1,213 hits. The Texas Rangers hold an OBP of .317 as well as a team batting average of .243 on the campaign.

The Texas pitching staff have conceded 668 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.32 (631 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 180 HR's and they yield 4.58 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.311 with a FIP of 4.15 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (1,257 strikeouts against 455 free passes). They are sitting at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,266.

Sitting with 134 save situations, the Rangers have accumulated 73 holds and also 18 blown saves. Texas has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 59 save chances and they have walked away with 41 saves. Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.0% of 197 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 134 times in high leverage situations and also on 132 occasions with base runners. They rank 10th in baseball holding a save rate of 69.5%, and they have dispatched 488 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Texas Rangers have gotten 94 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in baseball). The Rangers have recorded 1,171 assists, 64 errors and have accounted for 3,940 putouts for the year. Out of their 11,820 innings on the field, the Rangers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (18th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, deGrom has allowed 1,296 hits and he has 2,037 punch outs in 1,688 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 503 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.994 and a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio is 5.32 and he has faced 6,646 opposing hitters so far in his career. deGrom (106-74 mark in his career) holds a 2.68 earned run average while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-128)

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