Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, August 10, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-160) Toronto (+132)

The Toronto Blue Jays (55-62) welcome the Boston Red Sox (64-51) at Rogers Centre on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -160 and the Blue Jays are opening at +132. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Sonny Gray and Jameson Taillon.

The Red Sox have recorded 208 doubles as a unit and have knocked 118 baseballs out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging percentage of .404 and have been rung up 942 times, while being walked on 355 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in the league. They have 494 runs batted in and 956 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is at .249. They have notched a total of 517 runs scored while having a team OBP of .320.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.05 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 114 long balls in addition to 428 runs (1st in baseball). Boston has yielded 923 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 396 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 3.48 for the year (2nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 995 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 326 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.68 as a unit on the season.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 93 times and also have had 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 73 holds on the season (7th in MLB). The Red Sox bullpen have compiled a save rate of 77.3% and stepped onto the hill in 119 save situations. They have compiled 34 saves so far this year and have missed out on 10 out of their 44 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 126 base runners for the year and 30.2% of those players ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 359 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Boston Red Sox have earned a total of 3,076 putouts this year, in addition to 1,004 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which is 12th in baseball, and have earned 81 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,228 innings, which has them ranked 16th in the majors.

Gray has taken the mound for 2,037 innings and has tallied 2,031 strikeouts so far in his career. Gray (139-104 career record) holds a FIP of 3.48 while facing 8,436 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.53 (800 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.195. He has given up 1,781 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 653 walks.

The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .377 and they earn 3.90 runs per contest (30th in MLB). They have tallied 182 two-baggers, while taking a walk 317 times and notching 456 runs. Toronto has knocked in 112 home runs on the season as well as 436 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 845 instances (29th in the league) and have tallied 949 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have an on-base percentage of .303 and a team batting average of .242 so far this season.

The Toronto pitching staff have given up 516 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.02 (463 earned runs yielded). They have given up 121 homers and they relinquish 4.48 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.315 with a FIP of 3.93 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (1,031 strikeouts vs 423 free passes). They are currently ranked 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 941.

They sit at 6th in baseball holding a save rate of 72.5%, and they have dispatched 429 relievers to the mound this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 141 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with runners on. With 132 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 77 holds and also 14 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 51 save opportunities and they have walked away with 37 saves. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% of 183 inherited runners.

In their 9,333 innings on the field, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 79 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in baseball). The Blue Jays have 1,000 assists, 77 errors and have earned 3,111 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Taillon has surrendered 1,188 base hits while he has earned 1,077 K's in 1,241 innings. Taillon (82-60 career record) has earned a 3.88 earned run average while conceding 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 535 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.196 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has faced 5,148 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-160)

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