Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/13/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-160) Toronto (+132)

The Boston Red Sox (64-55) are en route to Rogers Centre on Thursday where they will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (58-63). The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at -160 while the Blue Jays are priced at +132. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Payton Tolle and Max Scherzer.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .401 and have struck out 976 times, while being walked on 374 occasions. They have tallied 503 runs batted in in addition to 985 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .248. The Red Sox have hit 214 doubles as a unit and have smacked 120 balls out of the park. They have a total of 527 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .320. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are earning 4.4 runs/g, which is 16th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.06 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 117 long balls in addition to 446 total runs (1st in the league). Boston has surrendered 957 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 411 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 3.49 for the season (3rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,024 batters. They have walked 335 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.67 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Red Sox have dispatched 369 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 127 base runners this season with 30.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have 75 holds this year (6th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 94 times in addition to having 105 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 34 saves on the season and have blown 11 out of their 45 chances to get a save. The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 75.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 122 save situations.

The Red Sox have turned 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,534 innings, which has them sitting 16th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 3,178 putouts on the year, as well as 1,035 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 13th in pro baseball, and they have turned 83 double plays.

Tolle has pitched in 123 innings and is sitting with 143 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.58 (49 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.170. He has surrendered 107 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 37 walks. Tolle (7-7 career record) has a FIP of 3.53 and he has faced 509 batters in the majors.

The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a batting average of .242 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 884 instances (28th in baseball) and have 986 hits. Toronto has a total of 115 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 455 RBIs. The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .376 and they are recording 3.93 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have notched 188 two-baggers, while taking a walk 330 times and earning 476 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have given up 532 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.99 (477 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 127 long balls and they allow 4.45 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.320 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.97 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (1,062 strikeouts against 449 walks). They rank 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 973.

With 139 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 80 holds and also 15 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 55 save opportunities and they have converted 40 saves. Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.7% out of their 187 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 153 times in high leverage situations and also on 133 occasions with base runners. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save rate of 72.7%, and they have sent 447 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

In their 9,696 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 82 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in baseball). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,034 assists, 77 errors and have accounted for 3,232 putouts this year.

So far in his career, Scherzer has conceded 2,473 hits while accumulating 3,516 strikeouts in 2,999 innings pitched. Scherzer (222-121 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.27 earned run average while surrendering 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 1,088 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.089 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.43 and he has gone up against 12,148 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-160)

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