Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+132) Atlanta (-160)

The Chicago Cubs (27-14) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Atlanta Braves (28-13). The moneyline on this game has Chicago at +132 and Atlanta is sitting at -160. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Colin Rea and Grant Holmes.

As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have tallied 215 runs scored and have an OBP of .347. The Cubs have accrued 65 doubles as a unit and have smacked 51 baseballs out of the park. They have 198 RBI's in addition to 351 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is .252. Chicago has a slugging rate of .417 and have been called out on strikes 328 times, while drawing a walk on 191 occasions.

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The Cubs hold a team ERA of 3.81 on the year (9th in the league), and their staff has struck out 337 hitters. Cubs pitchers have given up 50 home runs and also 168 total runs (10th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 129 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a team this year. Chicago has conceded 309 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 155 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 60.0% and have entered the game in 27 save situations. They have recorded 9 saves for the year and have not converted 6 of their 15 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 59 runners on the season with 28.8% of those runners crossing the plate. Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 42 times and also have had 40 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 122 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have earned 9 holds this year (30th in MLB).

The Chicago Cubs have accumulated 1,098 putouts this year, in addition to 375 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 15th in baseball, and they have turned 30 double plays. The Cubs have converted 72.5% of balls in play into outs out of 3,294 innings, which has them sitting at 3rd in pro baseball.

Rea has thrown 644 innings and has tallied 528 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.39 (314 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.275. He has surrendered 627 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 194 walks. Rea (41-28 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.32 while he has faced 2,732 hitters in the major leagues.

Atlanta has knocked in 57 home runs this year to go along with 223 runs batted in. They have put up 73 two-baggers, while taking a walk 129 times as well as putting up 228 runs. The Atlanta Braves have tallied an OBP of .334 and a team batting average of .270 so far this year. The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .450 and they average 5.56 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have been rung up on 323 occasions (21st in the league) and have 383 base hits.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.159 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a squad this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (359 strikeouts against 142 walks). They rank 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 280. They have conceded 41 homers and they yield 3.49 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 141 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.14 (127 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 43 save situations, the Braves have recorded 25 holds and also 3 blown saves. Atlanta has had relievers enter the game in 16 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.0% out of their 37 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 40 times in high leverage situations and also on 23 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 81.3%, and they have dispatched 125 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

Out of their 3,276 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 73.4% (1st in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 31 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Braves have racked up 328 assists, 17 errors and have earned 1,092 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Holmes has given up 198 hits and he has 222 strikeouts in 220 innings pitched. He has surrendered 96 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.290 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 934 batters thus far in his career. Holmes (8-11 career record) holds a 3.92 ERA and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-160)

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