Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-160) Baltimore (+132)

The Chicago Cubs (50-40) are en route to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday where they will meet the Baltimore Orioles (42-49). The odds on this game have Chicago at -160 and Baltimore is opening at +132. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Matthew Boyd and Shane Baz.

The Cubs have accounted for 142 doubles as a squad and have hit 112 baseballs out of the stadium. Chicago is slugging .409 and have been called out on strikes 762 times, while being walked on 397 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in MLB. They have tallied 424 RBI's as well as 749 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .244. They are sitting with 455 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .338.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 137 home runs in addition to 409 runs (18th in baseball). Chicago has allowed 738 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 388 earned runs. The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 4.36 this year (21st in baseball), and they have rung up 705 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 279 hitters and their FIP is 4.75 as a unit this year.

The Cubs have dispatched 293 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 132 runners this season and 31.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have tallied 29 holds so far this season (30th in the league). Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 93 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 16 saves on the season and have not converted 15 of their 31 chances to get a save. The Cubs relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 51.6% and stepped onto the hill in 66 save situations.

The Cubs have converted 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,212 innings, ranking them 3rd in baseball. The Chicago Cubs have amassed 2,404 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 831 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them sitting 4th in baseball, and they have turned 65 double plays.

Boyd has taken the mound for 1,121 frames and has totaled 1,082 strikeouts in his MLB career. Boyd (63-78 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.52 while facing 4,759 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.59 (572 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.281. He has conceded 1,090 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 346 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles have recorded an on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .238 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 832 occasions (4th in the league) and have a total of 721 base knocks. Baltimore has a total of 104 HRs over the course of the season and 403 runs batted in. The Orioles have a SLG% of .395 and they score 4.57 runs per game (14th in the league). They have 140 doubles, while walking 350 times as well as scoring 416 runs.

The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.372 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a staff on the season. They have a ranking of 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 785. The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 444 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.34 (389 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (723 strikeouts vs 321 walks). They have yielded 100 home runs and they surrender 4.96 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

They sit at 14th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 297 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 85 occasions with base runners. With 82 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 51 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have recorded 20 saves. Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.5% out of 117 inherited runners.

Out of their 7,260 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (25th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 64 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (21st in the majors). The Orioles have recorded 774 assists, 54 errors and have amassed 2,420 putouts this year.

Baz (21-25 mark in his career) holds a 4.23 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has faced 1,630 batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 182 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.264 and having a FIP of 4.2. During his pro baseball career, Baz has conceded 347 base hits while earning 380 K's in 387 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-160)

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