Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-196) Cincinnati (+162)

The Cincinnati Reds (42-49) will take on the Chicago Cubs (52-40) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Chicago at -196 while Cincinnati is priced at +162. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Shota Imanaga and Hunter Greene.

The Cubs have accrued 144 doubles as a team and have smacked 117 baseballs out of the park. Chicago is slugging .411 and have been rung up 773 times, while taking a walk on 404 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are notching 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in baseball. They have accounted for 437 runs batted in and 767 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .244. They have accumulated 469 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .338.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Cubs pitchers have yielded 141 home runs in addition to 418 runs in total (16th in baseball). Chicago has allowed 758 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 397 earned runs. The Cubs have a team ERA of 4.36 on the campaign (20th in the league), and the staff has struck out 721 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 284 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.77 as a team on the season.

The Cubs bullpen have a save percentage of 54.5% and stepped onto the hill in 71 save situations. They have earned 18 saves this season and have not converted 15 of their 33 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 137 runners for the year with 32.1% of those runners crossing home plate. Cubs relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 95 times as well as having 87 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 301 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 32 holds this season (29th in the league).

The Cubs have converted 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,374 innings, which ranks them 3rd in pro baseball. The Chicago Cubs have notched a total of 2,458 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 850 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which is 4th in professional baseball, and have a total of 68 double plays.

Imanaga (29-18 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.47 while he has gone up against 1,676 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 353 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 80 walks. His ERA is 3.53 (165 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.029. Imanaga has taken the ball for 421 frames and has accumulated 391 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Reds have a team SLG% of .392 and they are earning 4.22 runs per outing (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 145 two-baggers, while taking a walk 342 times and scoring 384 runs. Cincinnati has hit 113 home runs on the season to go along with 365 RBIs. They have been rung up on 862 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have earned a total of 695 hits. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a batting average of .228 for the year.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.456 in addition to having a FIP of 4.99 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.10 (731 strikeouts vs 412 walks). They are sitting at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 767. They have surrendered 124 long balls and they give up 4.90 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 441 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.57 (411 earned runs yielded).

They sit at 25th in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.3%, and they have dispatched 326 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their relievers have come in 111 times in high leverage situations in addition to 104 occasions with runners on base. With 90 save situations, the Reds have compiled 51 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 38 save chances and they have come away with 21 saves. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 144 inherited runners.

In 7,290 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (11th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 67 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (18th in MLB). The Reds have recorded 749 assists, 50 errors and have accumulated 2,430 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Greene has conceded 393 hits while earning 624 strikeouts in 498 frames. Greene (25-30 career mark) has earned a 3.77 earned run average while surrendering 7.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 209 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.41 and he has gone up against 2,080 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-196)

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