Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 4, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-152) Miami (+126)

The Chicago Cubs (78-62) are hitting the road to LoanDepot Park on Friday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (71-69). The moneyline on this matchup has Chicago at -152 and Miami is priced at +126. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Shota Imanaga and Janson Junk.

The Cubs have accumulated 237 doubles as a team and have smacked 197 balls out of the park. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .432 and have struck out 1,188 times, while drawing a walk on 591 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are notching 5.4 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in baseball. They have accrued 709 runs batted in and 1,217 hits for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .252. They are sitting with 751 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .340.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 4.21 on the season (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,082 batters. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 212 long balls and 619 runs in total (14th in MLB). They have walked 422 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.71 as a squad so far this season. Chicago has given up 1,163 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 585 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.56 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 54.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 108 save situations. They have earned 29 saves over the course of the season and have blown 24 of their 53 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 192 runners on the year with 31.8% of them crossing home plate. Cubs relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 138 times in addition to having 132 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 451 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen have recorded 49 holds on the campaign (30th in MLB).

The Cubs have turned 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,265 innings, which has them ranked 3rd in MLB. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 3,755 putouts this year, as well as 1,323 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which has them ranked 1st in baseball, and they have turned 107 double plays.

Imanaga has taken the hill for 468 frames and is sitting with 439 strikeouts so far in his career. Imanaga (32-21 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.47 while going up against 1,877 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.52 (183 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.051. He has conceded 403 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 89 walks.

The Miami Marlins have accumulated an on-base percentage of .326 in addition to a team batting average of .248 this year. They have been rung up on 1,150 instances (17th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,156 base hits. Miami has compiled 142 long balls for the year and 583 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .399 and they earn 4.37 runs per outing (19th in MLB). They have hit 215 doubles, while taking a walk 482 times as well as notching 612 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.252 with a FIP of 4.05 as a squad so far this year. They sit at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,066. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 594 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.93 (537 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (1,137 strikeouts against 473 bases on balls). They have relinquished 140 HR's and they give up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).

Sitting with 133 save situations, the Marlins have 81 holds and also 19 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 50 save chances and they have tallied 31 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.0% out of their 174 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 136 times in high leverage situations and on 123 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 17th in the league with a save percentage of 62.0%, and they have dispatched 456 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 101 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in professional baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,169 assists, 90 errors and have a total of 3,689 putouts for the season. In 11,067 innings on the diamond, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (9th in the majors).

In his career, Junk has given up 278 base hits while he has accumulated 181 strikeouts in 253 frames. Junk (13-15 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.55 ERA while giving up 9.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 128 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.304 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.48 and he has gone up against 1,071 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-152)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.