Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-132) Miami (+110)

The Miami Marlins (71-70) are hosting the Chicago Cubs (79-62) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Cubs at -132 while the Marlins are sitting at +110. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Matthew Boyd and Tyler Phillips.

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The Cubs have earned 238 two-baggers as a team and have hit 198 balls out of the park. Chicago is slugging .431 and have struck out 1,195 times, while drawing a walk on 592 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 5.3 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in baseball. They have accrued 711 runs batted in as well as 1,220 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is at .251. They have a total of 753 runs while holding a team OBP of .339.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 213 home runs and 620 total runs (13th in the league). Chicago has surrendered 1,168 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 586 earned runs. The Cubs have an ERA of 4.18 on the year (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,092 batters. They have walked 423 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.70 as a unit on the season.

The Cubs bullpen have a save percentage of 55.6% and have come into the game in 110 save situations. They have earned 30 saves so far this year and have missed out on 24 of 54 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 192 runners over the course of the season with 31.8% of those players ended up scoring. Cubs bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 138 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 453 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have accumulated 50 holds for the year (30th in the league).

The Cubs have converted 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,346 innings on the field, which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball. The Chicago Cubs have earned a total of 3,782 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,334 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which is 1st in the majors, and they have turned 107 double plays.

Boyd (68-80 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.46 and he has faced 5,037 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,148 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 367 free passes. His ERA is 4.53 (599 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.273. Boyd has taken the ball for 1,190 innings and has totaled 1,124 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Miami Marlins have compiled a team OBP of .326 and a batting average of .248 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,160 occasions (17th in the league) and have earned 1,162 base hits. Miami has hit 144 home runs so far this year to go along with 586 RBIs. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .399 and they earn 4.36 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have hit 217 two-baggers, while walking 484 times and scoring 615 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 601 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.96 (544 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 141 homers and they relinquish 4.37 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.254 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,142 strikeouts against 474 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,077.

Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.9% out of their 176 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 125 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 133 save situations, the Marlins have 81 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball holding a save percentage of 62.0%, and they have sent 459 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 101 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,176 assists, 90 errors and are sitting with 3,713 putouts so far this year. In their 11,139 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (9th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Phillips has conceded 210 base knocks and he has 170 K's in 224 frames. Phillips (10-8 career record) has a 3.77 earned run average and has conceded 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 94 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.285 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.18 and he has gone up against 944 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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