Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 6/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+132) Milwaukee (-160)

The Milwaukee Brewers (49-29) are hosting the Chicago Cubs (44-37) at American Family Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at +132 while the Brewers are coming in at -160. The total is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Vince Velasquez and Brandon Woodruff.

Chicago is slugging .403 and have been called out on strikes 682 times, while being walked on 355 occasions. They have recorded 371 RBI's as well as 673 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average comes in at .243. The Cubs have compiled 131 doubles as a squad and have knocked 95 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 399 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .337. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 6th in the league.

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The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 4.27 for the season (17th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 637 hitters. Cubs pitchers have allowed 123 home runs and also 362 runs in total (16th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 251 batters and their FIP is 4.72 as a team this year. Chicago has given up 645 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 342 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Cubs have dispatched 262 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 113 base runners over the course of the season with 30.1% of them ended up scoring. The relief pitchers have tallied 28 holds this season (29th in MLB). Cubs bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 80 times and also have had 77 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 12 saves this season and have not converted 13 of 25 save opportunities. The Cubs relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 48.0% and have come into the game in 57 save situations.

The Cubs have turned 72.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,483 innings, which has them sitting 2nd in the majors. The Chicago Cubs have a total of 2,161 putouts on the campaign, as well as 744 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding rate is at .989 which puts them in 6th in baseball, and have a total of 54 double plays.

Velasquez has pitched in 765 innings and has earned 823 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 4.87 (414 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.371. He has surrendered 742 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 307 free passes. Velasquez (38-51 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.80 while he has gone up against 3,303 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Milwaukee has recorded 70 home runs this year and 384 runs batted in. They have 135 doubles, while taking a walk 329 times as well as scoring 407 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have an OBP of .338 and a team batting average of .254 for the year. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .391 and they earn 5.22 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 643 occasions (24th in the league) and are sitting with 672 base knocks.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.183 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.49 as a team over the course of the season. They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 567. The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 284 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.38 (262 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.90 (769 strikeouts vs 259 free passes). They have surrendered 73 homers and they allow 3.66 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

They sit at 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 65.8%, and they have dispatched 236 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 77 times in high leverage situations and also on 63 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 77 save situations, the Brewers have earned 38 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 38 save opportunities and they have come away with 25 saves. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 39.8% of 93 inherited base runners.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 61 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .989 (7th in professional baseball). The Brewers have recorded 592 assists, 31 errors and have a tally of 2,096 putouts this year. In their 6,288 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (8th in baseball).

Woodruff (55-29 career mark) is the owner of a 3.10 earned run average while allowing 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.60 and he has gone up against 3,124 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 269 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.027 and a FIP of 3.1. During his pro baseball career, Woodruff has allowed 605 hits while he has tallied 906 K's in 781 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-160)

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